Matchup Machine

Tyler O'Neill

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matchup for Jared Jones

157th out of 436 (Best 37%)

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Jared Jones

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matchup for Tyler O'Neill

384th out of 567 (Worst 32%)

Moderate advantage for Jones
3

Model Prediction

Tyler O'Neill has a 29.7% chance of reaching base vs Jared Jones, which is 1.3% lower than O'Neill's typical expectations, and 1.4% lower than batters facing Jones.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction29.7%17.3%4.1%4.1%9.1%12.4%38.9%
O'Neill-1.3-1.6+0.4-0.3-1.7+0.3+5.0
Jones-1.4-3.5+1.2-0.9-3.8+2.1+10.3

Handedness and Release Point

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Tyler O'Neill is worse vs right-handed pitching. Jared Jones is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. O'Neill has a D+ grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Jared Jones throws a 4-seam fastball 49% of the time. Tyler O'Neill has a C grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
49%
   Slider (R)
35%
   Curve (R)
9%
   Changeup (R)
7%

Contact and Outcomes

19.8% of Tyler O'Neill's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 8.8% higher than the league average. Jared Jones strikes out 15.6% of the batters he faces, which is 0.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 11%         Strikeout +8.8% +0.4% 3%         Walk +2.6% +0.6% 44%         In Play -11.4% -1.1% 39%         On Base -6.4% -0.1% 31%         Hit -9.1% -0.8% 14%         Single -6.6% -1.1% 13%         2B / 3B -6.1% -0.5% 3%         Home Run +3.6% +0.9%

History

No History in the last 3 years