Matchup Machine

Tyler O'Neill

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matchup for Garrett Crochet

169th out of 436 (Best 40%)

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Garrett Crochet

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matchup for Tyler O'Neill

503rd out of 567 (Worst 11%)

Strong advantage for Crochet
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Model Prediction

Tyler O'Neill has a 26.7% chance of reaching base vs Garrett Crochet, which is 4.3% lower than O'Neill's typical expectations, and 0.8% lower than batters facing Crochet.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction26.7%17.8%3.5%4.4%9.9%8.9%45.8%
O'Neill-4.3-1.1-0.30.0-0.9-3.2+11.9
Crochet-0.8-3.1+1.1-0.6-3.6+2.4+10.5

Handedness and Release Point

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Tyler O'Neill is better vs left-handed pitching. Garrett Crochet is left handed with an extreme release toward the first base side. O'Neill has an A grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Garrett Crochet throws a 4-seam fastball 58% of the time. Tyler O'Neill has an A grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
58%
   Cutter (L)
18%
   Slider (L)
16%
   Changeup (L)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

19.8% of Tyler O'Neill's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 8.8% higher than the league average. Garrett Crochet strikes out 21.3% of the batters he faces, which is 9.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 11%         Strikeout +8.8% +9.4% 3%         Walk +2.6% -1.3% 44%         In Play -11.4% -8.1% 39%         On Base -6.4% -3.9% 31%         Hit -9.1% -2.5% 14%         Single -6.6% -1.4% 13%         2B / 3B -6.1% -1.1% 3%         Home Run +3.6% +0.1%

History

Tyler O'Neill has 2 plate appearances against Garrett Crochet in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 2 with a home run and

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual221100000.500
Expected From Contact →1.020.990.030.000.510
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-09-07Home Run98%2%
2024-06-07Flyout1%98%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.