Matchup Machine

Tyler O'Neill

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matchup for Kutter Crawford

58th out of 436 (Best 14%)

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Kutter Crawford

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matchup for Tyler O'Neill

488th out of 567 (Worst 14%)

Strong advantage for Crawford
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Model Prediction

Tyler O'Neill has a 25.4% chance of reaching base vs Kutter Crawford, which is 5.6% lower than O'Neill's typical expectations, and 2.6% lower than batters facing Crawford.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction25.4%16.8%3.7%4.4%8.7%8.7%37.1%
O'Neill-5.6-2.2-0.1+0.0-2.1-3.4+3.2
Crawford-2.6-3.4+0.8-0.3-4.0+0.9+12.7

Handedness and Release Point

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Tyler O'Neill is worse vs right-handed pitching. Kutter Crawford is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. O'Neill has a D+ grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Kutter Crawford throws a 4-seam fastball 37% of the time. Tyler O'Neill has a C grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
37%
   Cutter (R)
31%
   Slider (R)
14%
   Kn-Curve (R)
6%
   Splitter (R)
5%

Contact and Outcomes

19.8% of Tyler O'Neill's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 8.8% higher than the league average. Kutter Crawford strikes out 15.5% of the batters he faces, which is 0.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 11%         Strikeout +8.8% +0.8% 3%         Walk +2.6% -0.9% 44%         In Play -11.4% +0.1% 39%         On Base -6.4% -4.5% 31%         Hit -9.1% -3.6% 14%         Single -6.6% -2.9% 13%         2B / 3B -6.1% -2.4% 3%         Home Run +3.6% +1.7%

History

Tyler O'Neill has 2 plate appearances against Kutter Crawford in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 2.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual221001000.500
Expected From Contact →0.500.000.010.490.252
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2022-06-18Single1%48%51%
2022-06-18Groundout1%98%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.