Tyler O'Neill has a 25.4% chance of reaching base vs Kutter Crawford, which is 5.6% lower than O'Neill's typical expectations, and 2.6% lower than batters facing Crawford.
Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction | 25.4% | 16.8% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 37.1% |
O'Neill | -5.6 | -2.2 | -0.1 | +0.0 | -2.1 | -3.4 | +3.2 |
Crawford | -2.6 | -3.4 | +0.8 | -0.3 | -4.0 | +0.9 | +12.7 |
Tyler O'Neill is worse vs right-handed pitching. Kutter Crawford is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. O'Neill has a D+ grade vs this particular release point.
Kutter Crawford throws a 4-seam fastball 37% of the time. Tyler O'Neill has a C grade against right-handed 4-seamers
19.8% of Tyler O'Neill's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 8.8% higher than the league average. Kutter Crawford strikes out 15.5% of the batters he faces, which is 0.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.
Tyler O'Neill has 2 plate appearances against Kutter Crawford in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 2.
PA | AB | H | HR | 2/3B | 1B | K | BB | Avg | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Actual | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 |
Expected From Contact → | 0.50 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.49 | 0.252 |
Expected From Contact | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Date | Outcome | HR | 2/3B | 1B | Out |
2022-06-18 | Single | 1% | 48% | 51% | |
2022-06-18 | Groundout | 1% | 98% |
Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.