Matchup Machine

      Tyler O'Neill

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      matchup for Reid Detmers

      216th out of 436 (Best 50%)

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      Reid Detmers

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      matchup for Tyler O'Neill

      311st out of 564 (Worst 45%)

      Leans in favor of O'Neill
      1

      Model Prediction

      Tyler O'Neill has a 31.6% chance of reaching base vs Reid Detmers, which is 0.6% higher than O'Neill's typical expectations, and 0.5% lower than batters facing Detmers.

      Handedness and Release Point

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      Tyler O'Neill is better vs left-handed pitching. Reid Detmers is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. O'Neill has a D grade vs this particular release point.

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      On the Way to the Plate

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      Reid Detmers throws a 4-seam fastball 43% of the time. Tyler O'Neill has an A grade against left-handed 4-seamers

      Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
      43%
         Slider (L)
      28%
         Curve (L)
      18%
         Changeup (L)
      9%

      Contact and Outcomes

      19.8% of Tyler O'Neill's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 8.8% higher than the league average. Reid Detmers strikes out 19.2% of the batters he faces, which is 6.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

      MLB Typical BP Label 11%         Strikeout +8.8% +6.4% 3%         Walk +2.6% -0.2% 44%         In Play -11.4% -6.1% 39%         On Base -6.4% -3.3% 31%         Hit -9.1% -3.1% 14%         Single -6.6% -2.4% 13%         2B / 3B -6.1% -1.9% 3%         Home Run +3.6% +1.2%

      History

      Tyler O'Neill has 5 plate appearances against Reid Detmers in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 4 with a walk

      PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
      Actual540000310.000
      Expected From Contact →0.340.000.110.240.086
      Expected From Contact
      Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
      2024-04-12Strikeout
      2024-04-12Strikeout
      2024-04-12GIDP11%24%66%
      2024-04-06Strikeout
      2024-04-06Walk

      Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.