Matchup Machine

Tyler O'Neill

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matchup for Adrian Morejon

235th out of 436 (Worst 46%)

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Adrian Morejon

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matchup for Tyler O'Neill

325th out of 567 (Worst 43%)

Leans in favor of Morejon
2

Model Prediction

Tyler O'Neill has a 31.1% chance of reaching base vs Adrian Morejon, which is 0.1% higher than O'Neill's typical expectations, and 0.6% higher than batters facing Morejon.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction31.1%19.6%3.6%3.9%12.1%11.5%34.3%
O'Neill+0.1+0.7-0.2-0.5+1.4-0.6+0.4
Morejon+0.6-2.4+1.2-0.5-3.1+3.1+9.4

Handedness and Release Point

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Tyler O'Neill is better vs left-handed pitching. Adrian Morejon is left handed with a horizontal release toward the first base side. O'Neill has an A+ grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Adrian Morejon throws a 4-seam fastball 43% of the time. Tyler O'Neill has an A grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
43%
   Slider (L)
21%
   Sinker (L)
18%
   Curve (L)
9%
   Changeup (L)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

19.8% of Tyler O'Neill's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 8.8% higher than the league average. Adrian Morejon strikes out 17.5% of the batters he faces, which is 1.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 11%         Strikeout +8.8% +1.9% 3%         Walk +2.6% -0.8% 44%         In Play -11.4% -1.2% 39%         On Base -6.4% -0.4% 31%         Hit -9.1% +0.4% 14%         Single -6.6% +0.1% 13%         2B / 3B -6.1% +0.4% 3%         Home Run +3.6% -0.1%

History

No History in the last 3 years