Matchup Machine

Tyler O'Neill

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matchup for Hunter Greene

158th out of 436 (Best 37%)

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Hunter Greene

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matchup for Tyler O'Neill

530th out of 567 (Worst 7%)

Strong advantage for Greene
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Model Prediction

Tyler O'Neill has a 25.0% chance of reaching base vs Hunter Greene, which is 6.0% lower than O'Neill's typical expectations, and 0.8% lower than batters facing Greene.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction25.0%14.2%3.9%2.9%7.5%10.8%41.5%
O'Neill-6.0-4.7+0.1-1.5-3.3-1.3+7.6
Greene-0.8-2.3+1.1-0.7-2.6+1.5+10.3

Handedness and Release Point

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Tyler O'Neill is worse vs right-handed pitching. Hunter Greene is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. O'Neill has a C grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Hunter Greene throws a 4-seam fastball 55% of the time. Tyler O'Neill has a C grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
55%
   Slider (R)
38%

Contact and Outcomes

19.8% of Tyler O'Neill's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 8.8% higher than the league average. Hunter Greene strikes out 19.6% of the batters he faces, which is 8.0% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 11%         Strikeout +8.8% +8.0% 3%         Walk +2.6% +0.5% 44%         In Play -11.4% -8.5% 39%         On Base -6.4% -6.2% 31%         Hit -9.1% -6.7% 14%         Single -6.6% -3.4% 13%         2B / 3B -6.1% -3.0% 3%         Home Run +3.6% -0.3%

History

Tyler O'Neill has 9 plate appearances against Hunter Greene in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 7 with 2 walks

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual971001220.143
Expected From Contact →0.350.000.020.320.050
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2023-09-10Pop Out100%
2023-09-10Walk
2023-09-10Groundout2%98%
2022-07-15Single2%27%71%
2022-07-15Strikeout
2022-06-11Strikeout
2022-06-11Walk
2022-04-22Pop Out100%
2022-04-22Groundout4%96%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.