Matchup Machine

Tyler O'Neill

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matchup for Jake Latz

203rd out of 436 (Best 47%)

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Jake Latz

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matchup for Tyler O'Neill

164th out of 567 (Best 30%)

Moderate advantage for O'Neill
4

Model Prediction

Tyler O'Neill has a 35.5% chance of reaching base vs Jake Latz, which is 4.5% higher than O'Neill's typical expectations, and 1.1% higher than batters facing Latz.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction35.5%16.2%3.3%4.3%8.6%19.3%32.0%
O'Neill+4.5-2.7-0.4-0.2-2.1+7.3-1.9
Latz+1.1-4.6+0.6-0.6-4.6+5.7+9.2

Handedness and Release Point

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Tyler O'Neill is better vs left-handed pitching. Jake Latz is left handed with a moderate release toward the first base side. O'Neill has an A grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Jake Latz throws a 4-seam fastball 50% of the time. Tyler O'Neill has an A grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
50%
   Changeup (L)
23%
   Slider (L)
22%
   Curve (L)
5%

Contact and Outcomes

19.8% of Tyler O'Neill's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 8.8% higher than the league average. Jake Latz strikes out 13.4% of the batters he faces, which is 1.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 11%         Strikeout +8.8% -1.3% 3%         Walk +2.6% +6.7% 44%         In Play -11.4% -5.5% 39%         On Base -6.4% +1.7% 31%         Hit -9.1% -5.1% 14%         Single -6.6% -3.5% 13%         2B / 3B -6.1% -3.0% 3%         Home Run +3.6% +1.4%

History

Tyler O'Neill has 1 plate appearance against Jake Latz in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 0 with a walk

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual100000010.000
Expected From Contact →0.000.000.000.000.000
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-08-02Walk

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.