Matchup Machine

Tyler O'Neill

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matchup for Michael Wacha

80th out of 436 (Best 19%)

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Michael Wacha

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matchup for Tyler O'Neill

361st out of 567 (Worst 37%)

Moderate advantage for Wacha
3

Model Prediction

Tyler O'Neill has a 30.1% chance of reaching base vs Michael Wacha, which is 0.9% lower than O'Neill's typical expectations, and 1.0% lower than batters facing Wacha.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction30.1%18.4%3.1%4.2%11.1%11.7%31.5%
O'Neill-0.9-0.5-0.6-0.2+0.3-0.3-2.4
Wacha-1.0-4.7+0.4-0.9-4.2+3.7+10.1

Handedness and Release Point

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Tyler O'Neill is worse vs right-handed pitching. Michael Wacha is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. O'Neill has a C grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Michael Wacha throws a Changeup 32% of the time. Tyler O'Neill has a D- grade against right-handed Changeups

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Changeup (R)
32%
   4-Seam (R)
31%
   Cutter (R)
17%
   Sinker (R)
11%
   Curve (R)
8%

Contact and Outcomes

19.8% of Tyler O'Neill's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 8.8% higher than the league average. Michael Wacha strikes out 16.3% of the batters he faces, which is 0.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 11%         Strikeout +8.8% +0.4% 3%         Walk +2.6% -2.0% 44%         In Play -11.4% +1.5% 39%         On Base -6.4% -3.0% 31%         Hit -9.1% -1.0% 14%         Single -6.6% -0.6% 13%         2B / 3B -6.1% -0.5% 3%         Home Run +3.6% +0.1%

History

Tyler O'Neill has 2 plate appearances against Michael Wacha in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 2.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual220000000.000
Expected From Contact →0.290.020.180.100.146
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2022-06-17Groundout5%94%
2022-06-17Lineout2%17%5%76%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.