Tyler O'Neill has a 35.4% chance of reaching base vs Kyle Gibson, which is 4.4% higher than O'Neill's typical expectations, and 1.1% higher than batters facing Gibson.
Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction | 35.4% | 20.5% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 11.5% | 14.9% | 26.2% |
O'Neill | +4.4 | +0.8 | +0.5 | 0.0 | +0.3 | +3.6 | -5.9 |
Gibson | +1.1 | -3.0 | +1.5 | -0.7 | -3.9 | +4.1 | +6.9 |
Tyler O'Neill is worse vs right-handed pitching. Kyle Gibson is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. O'Neill has a C+ grade vs this particular release point.
Kyle Gibson throws a Sinker 28% of the time. Tyler O'Neill has an A grade against right-handed Sinkers
22% of Kyle Gibson's pitches are classified as Likely Balls, which is 3% higher than the MLB average. Tyler O'Neill has a D grade against this type of pitch.
25% of Kyle Gibson's pitches are classified as Medium Velocity, which is 15% higher than the MLB average. Tyler O'Neill has an A grade against this type of pitch.
19.6% of Tyler O'Neill's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 8.4% higher than the league average. Kyle Gibson strikes out 13.7% of the batters he faces, which is 2.5% lower than the typical MLB rate.
32.8% of Tyler O'Neill's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 1.6% lower than the league average. Kyle Gibson induces Standard Grounders at a 36.9% rate, which is 2.5% higher than the typical MLB rate.
35.0% of Tyler O'Neill's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 10.7% higher than the league average. 25.0% of batted balls allowed by Kyle Gibson are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.
13.7% of Tyler O'Neill's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 2.3% higher than the league average. 9.2% of batted balls allowed by Kyle Gibson are hit at this angle, which is 2.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.
Tyler O'Neill has 6 plate appearances against Kyle Gibson in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 6 with a strikeout.
PA | AB | H | HR | 2/3B | 1B | K | BB | Avg | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Actual | 6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.167 |
Expected From Contact → | 1.96 | 0.73 | 0.41 | 0.82 | 0.327 |
Expected From Contact | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Date | Outcome | HR | 2/3B | 1B | Out |
2024-05-17 | Single | 1% | 54% | 45% | |
2024-05-17 | Flyout | 42% | 20% | 38% | |
2024-05-17 | Flyout | 32% | 19% | 49% | |
2023-09-13 | Strikeout | ||||
2023-09-13 | Flyout | 100% | |||
2023-09-13 | Groundout | 28% | 72% |
Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.