Matchup Machine

      Tyler O'Neill

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      matchup for Kyle Gibson

      307th out of 436 (Worst 30%)

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      Kyle Gibson

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      matchup for Tyler O'Neill

      75th out of 564 (Best 14%)

      Strong advantage for O'Neill
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      Model Prediction

      Tyler O'Neill has a 35.4% chance of reaching base vs Kyle Gibson, which is 4.4% higher than O'Neill's typical expectations, and 1.1% higher than batters facing Gibson.

      Handedness and Release Point

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      Tyler O'Neill is worse vs right-handed pitching. Kyle Gibson is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. O'Neill has a C+ grade vs this particular release point.

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      On the Way to the Plate

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      Kyle Gibson throws a Sinker 28% of the time. Tyler O'Neill has an A grade against right-handed Sinkers

      Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (R)
      28%
         Slider (R)
      19%
         Cutter (R)
      19%
         4-Seam (R)
      13%
         Changeup (R)
      13%
         Curve (R)
      8%

      Contact and Outcomes

      19.6% of Tyler O'Neill's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 8.4% higher than the league average. Kyle Gibson strikes out 13.7% of the batters he faces, which is 2.5% lower than the typical MLB rate.

      MLB Typical BP Label 11%         Strikeout +8.4% -2.5% 3%         Walk +2.6% -0.1% 44%         In Play -10.9% +2.6% 39%         On Base -6.0% +3.0% 31%         Hit -8.6% +3.1% 14%         Single -6.3% +1.7% 13%         2B / 3B -5.8% +1.9% 3%         Home Run +3.5% -0.4%

      History

      Tyler O'Neill has 6 plate appearances against Kyle Gibson in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 6 with a strikeout.

      PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
      Actual661001100.167
      Expected From Contact →1.960.730.410.820.327
      Expected From Contact
      Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
      2024-05-17Single1%54%45%
      2024-05-17Flyout42%20%38%
      2024-05-17Flyout32%19%49%
      2023-09-13Strikeout
      2023-09-13Flyout100%
      2023-09-13Groundout28%72%

      Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.