Matchup Machine

Ryan McMahon

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matchup for Logan Webb

259th out of 436 (Worst 41%)

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Logan Webb

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matchup for Ryan McMahon

232nd out of 567 (Best 42%)

Moderate advantage for McMahon
3

Model Prediction

Ryan McMahon has a 33.5% chance of reaching base vs Logan Webb, which is 1.1% higher than McMahon's typical expectations, and 1.3% higher than batters facing Webb.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction33.5%24.4%1.9%5.7%16.8%9.1%24.9%
McMahon+1.1+3.5-0.7+0.8+3.4-2.4-4.9
Webb+1.3-0.3-0.6+0.5-0.3+1.6+2.9

Handedness and Release Point

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Ryan McMahon is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Logan Webb is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. McMahon has a C- grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Logan Webb throws a Sinker 36% of the time. Ryan McMahon has a C- grade against right-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (R)
36%
   Changeup (R)
34%
   Slider (R)
25%

Contact and Outcomes

17.8% of Ryan McMahon's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.4% higher than the league average. Logan Webb strikes out 15.0% of the batters he faces, which is 0.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 12%         Strikeout +5.4% -0.8% 4%         Walk +1.2% -2.4% 42%         In Play -6.6% +3.2% 39%         On Base +0.4% +1.6% 31%         Hit -0.8% +4.0% 14%         Single -0.6% +2.5% 13%         2B / 3B -0.2% +2.8% 3%         Home Run 0.0% -1.3%

History

Ryan McMahon has 27 plate appearances against Logan Webb in the last 3 years. He is 6 for 25 with a double and 2 walks

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual27256015420.240
Expected From Contact →7.630.231.615.790.305
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-07-20Single93%6%
2024-07-20Walk
2024-07-20Walk
2023-09-15Double38%50%13%
2023-09-15Groundout1%98%
2023-09-15Strikeout
2023-09-09Groundout34%65%
2023-09-09Groundout8%92%
2023-09-09GIDP45%55%
2023-07-09GIDP
2023-07-09Strikeout
2023-07-09Strikeout
2023-07-09Single
2023-06-07Lineout7%1%92%
2023-06-07Groundout30%7%63%
2023-06-07Lineout23%26%18%34%
2022-09-27GIDP12%88%
2022-09-27Single27%54%19%
2022-09-27Strikeout
2022-09-21Groundout2%3%96%
2022-09-21Lineout4%1%95%
2022-06-09Groundout32%67%
2022-06-09Single25%56%19%
2022-06-09Fielders Choice2%98%
2022-05-18Groundout9%91%
2022-05-18Single46%53%
2022-05-18Groundout6%94%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.