Matchup Machine

Ryan McMahon

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matchup for Michael King

183rd out of 436 (Best 43%)

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Michael King

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matchup for Ryan McMahon

431st out of 567 (Worst 24%)

Moderate advantage for King
4

Model Prediction

Ryan McMahon has a 30.7% chance of reaching base vs Michael King, which is 1.7% lower than McMahon's typical expectations, and 0.2% higher than batters facing King.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction30.7%18.6%2.5%4.3%11.8%12.1%35.2%
McMahon-1.7-2.4-0.1-0.7-1.6+0.6+5.4
King+0.2-2.6-0.1-0.2-2.3+2.8+6.8

Handedness and Release Point

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Ryan McMahon is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Michael King is right handed with an extreme release toward the third base side. McMahon has a D grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Michael King throws a Sinker 37% of the time. Ryan McMahon has a C- grade against right-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (R)
37%
   Slider (R)
20%
   4-Seam (R)
20%
   Changeup (R)
18%
   Curve (R)
5%

Contact and Outcomes

17.8% of Ryan McMahon's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.4% higher than the league average. Michael King strikes out 18.6% of the batters he faces, which is 4.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 12%         Strikeout +5.4% +4.8% 4%         Walk +1.2% +0.2% 42%         In Play -6.6% -5.0% 39%         On Base +0.4% -1.9% 31%         Hit -0.8% -2.1% 14%         Single -0.6% -0.6% 13%         2B / 3B -0.2% -1.0% 3%         Home Run 0.0% -0.4%

History

Ryan McMahon has 7 plate appearances against Michael King in the last 3 years. He is 2 for 7 with 2 strikeouts.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual772002200.286
Expected From Contact →1.910.000.101.800.272
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-05-15Groundout6%94%
2024-05-15Single9%77%13%
2024-05-15Strikeout
2024-04-23Single56%44%
2024-04-23Intent Walk
2024-04-23Groundout41%58%
2023-07-14Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.