Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Jonah Heim

matchup for Jared Jones

176th out of 436 (Best 41%)

Jared Jones

matchup for Jonah Heim

477th out of 567 (Worst 16%)

Leans in favor of Jones

Jonah Heim has a 28.3% chance of reaching base vs Jared Jones, which is 2.3% lower than Heim's typical expectations, and 2.7% lower than batters facing Jones.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	28.3%	19.2%	3.0%	4.5%	11.7%	9.1%	24.5%
Heim	-2.3	-3.4	0.0	-0.8	-2.6	+1.0	+4.8
Jones	-2.7	-1.6	+0.1	-0.5	-1.2	-1.1	-4.1

Jonah Heim is worse vs right-handed pitching. Jared Jones is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Heim has a C grade vs this particular release point.

Jared Jones throws a 4-seam fastball 49% of the time. Jonah Heim has a C grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

49%

Slider (R)

35%

Curve (R)

Changeup (R)

17% of Jared Jones's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 6% higher than the MLB average. Jonah Heim has an A grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 17%

+6%

Strong Challenge 8%

+3%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Chaser 6%

Likely Ball 18%

-1%

Fringe Miss 11%

-1%

Non-Competitive 11%

-2%

Weak Challenge 6%

-2%

Meatball 3%

-4%

36% of Jared Jones's pitches are classified as Medium Break Toward Third Base, which is 16% higher than the MLB average. Jonah Heim has a C grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Medium Break 36%

+16%

Extreme Fast Velo 18%

+15%

Breaking (R) 44%

+13%

High Ride 22%

+11%

10.8% of Jonah Heim's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 6.4% lower than the league average. Jared Jones strikes out 15.6% of the batters he faces, which is 0.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Strikeout -6.4% +0.4% 5%

Walk -3.0% +0.6% 36%

In Play +9.4% -1.1% 39%

On Base -2.0% -0.1% 31%

Hit +1.0% -0.8% 14%

Single +0.2% -1.1% 13%

2B / 3B +0.5% -0.5% 3%

Home Run +0.3% +0.9%

31.6% of Jonah Heim's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 2.8% lower than the league average. Jared Jones induces Standard Grounders at a 30.0% rate, which is 4.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.1% -0.2% 34%

Standard Grounder -2.8% -4.4% 7%

Hard Grounder -0.1% +0.4% 14%

Low Screamer -1.5% -2.4% 9%

Rising Liner +0.1% +1.0% 4%

Maybe Homer +1.4% +1.5% 3%

Likely Homer -0.6% -0.1% 1%

No Doubter 0.0% +0.2% 20%

Routine Flyout -0.9% +1.5% 3%

Pop up +4.3% +2.5%

21.6% of Jonah Heim's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 2.7% lower than the league average. 24.7% of batted balls allowed by Jared Jones are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +1.3% +1.4% 21%

75 to 86 mph -1.8% -4.2% 18%

87 to 93 mph +2.9% -2.8% 19%

94 to 99 mph +0.3% +5.2% 24%

Above 100 mph -2.7% +0.4%

12.1% of Jonah Heim's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.7% higher than the league average. 8.9% of batted balls allowed by Jared Jones are hit at this angle, which is 2.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%