Matchup Machine

Jonah Heim

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matchup for Adrian Morejon

300th out of 436 (Worst 31%)

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Adrian Morejon

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matchup for Jonah Heim

391st out of 567 (Worst 31%)

Leans in favor of Heim
1

Model Prediction

Jonah Heim has a 29.9% chance of reaching base vs Adrian Morejon, which is 0.8% lower than Heim's typical expectations, and 0.6% lower than batters facing Morejon.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction29.9%22.4%2.7%4.5%15.2%7.5%19.7%
Heim-0.8-0.1-0.4-0.8+1.0-0.6+0.1
Morejon-0.6+0.4+0.2+0.10.0-0.9-5.2

Handedness and Release Point

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Jonah Heim is better vs left-handed pitching. Adrian Morejon is left handed with a horizontal release toward the first base side. Heim has an A grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Adrian Morejon throws a 4-seam fastball 43% of the time. Jonah Heim has an A grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
43%
   Slider (L)
21%
   Sinker (L)
18%
   Curve (L)
9%
   Changeup (L)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

10.8% of Jonah Heim's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 6.4% lower than the league average. Adrian Morejon strikes out 17.5% of the batters he faces, which is 1.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 17%         Strikeout -6.4% +1.9% 5%         Walk -3.0% -0.8% 36%         In Play +9.4% -1.2% 39%         On Base -2.0% -0.4% 31%         Hit +1.0% +0.4% 14%         Single +0.2% +0.1% 13%         2B / 3B +0.5% +0.4% 3%         Home Run +0.3% -0.1%

History

No History in the last 3 years