Matchup Machine

Jonah Heim

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matchup for Joe Mantiply

403rd out of 436 (Worst 8%)

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Joe Mantiply

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matchup for Jonah Heim

334th out of 567 (Worst 41%)

Moderate advantage for Heim
3

Model Prediction

Jonah Heim has a 29.5% chance of reaching base vs Joe Mantiply, which is 1.2% lower than Heim's typical expectations, and 1.3% higher than batters facing Mantiply.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction29.5%24.7%2.8%5.9%16.0%4.8%18.8%
Heim-1.2+2.1-0.3+0.7+1.7-3.3-0.9
Mantiply+1.3+1.7+0.6+0.5+0.5-0.4-4.2

Handedness and Release Point

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Jonah Heim is better vs left-handed pitching. Joe Mantiply is left handed with an extreme release toward the first base side. Heim has a D- grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Joe Mantiply throws a Sinker 42% of the time. Jonah Heim has an A+ grade against left-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (L)
42%
   Curve (L)
29%
   Changeup (L)
24%

Contact and Outcomes

10.8% of Jonah Heim's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 6.4% lower than the league average. Joe Mantiply strikes out 16.1% of the batters he faces, which is 1.1% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 17%         Strikeout -6.4% +1.1% 5%         Walk -3.0% -3.1% 36%         In Play +9.4% +2.0% 39%         On Base -2.0% -2.8% 31%         Hit +1.0% +0.3% 14%         Single +0.2% +0.2% 13%         2B / 3B +0.5% +0.2% 3%         Home Run +0.3% -0.1%

History

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