Matchup Machine

Jonah Heim

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matchup for Miles Mikolas

194th out of 436 (Best 45%)

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Miles Mikolas

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matchup for Jonah Heim

209th out of 567 (Best 38%)

Moderate advantage for Heim
5

Model Prediction

Jonah Heim has a 30.4% chance of reaching base vs Miles Mikolas, which is 0.3% higher than Heim's typical expectations, and 1.8% lower than batters facing Mikolas.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction30.4%26.8%3.2%6.6%17.1%3.6%17.2%
Heim-0.3+4.2+0.1+1.3+2.8-4.5-2.5
Mikolas-1.8-1.3-0.10.0-1.2-0.5-3.4

Handedness and Release Point

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Jonah Heim is worse vs right-handed pitching. Miles Mikolas is right handed with an extreme release toward the third base side. Heim has a D grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Miles Mikolas throws a 4-seam fastball 27% of the time. Jonah Heim has a C grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
27%
   Slider (R)
26%
   Sinker (R)
23%
   Curve (R)
18%
   Changeup (R)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

10.8% of Jonah Heim's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 6.4% lower than the league average. Miles Mikolas strikes out 13.5% of the batters he faces, which is 3.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 17%         Strikeout -6.4% -3.3% 5%         Walk -3.0% -3.9% 36%         In Play +9.4% +7.2% 39%         On Base -2.0% -0.6% 31%         Hit +1.0% +3.3% 14%         Single +0.2% +1.5% 13%         2B / 3B +0.5% +1.8% 3%         Home Run +0.3% +0.0%

History

No History in the last 3 years