Garrett Hampson has a 26.8% chance of reaching base vs Aaron Nola, which is 2.8% lower than Hampson's typical expectations, and 2.7% lower than batters facing Nola.
Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction | 26.8% | 20.9% | 1.9% | 5.6% | 13.4% | 5.9% | 33.6% |
Hampson | -2.8 | +0.2 | +0.2 | +0.8 | -0.9 | -3.0 | +7.8 |
Nola | -2.7 | -1.5 | -1.1 | -0.6 | +0.2 | -1.2 | +2.8 |
Garrett Hampson is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Aaron Nola is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Hampson has a D- grade vs this particular release point.
Aaron Nola throws a Kn-Curve 30% of the time. Garrett Hampson hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often
15.9% of Garrett Hampson's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.2% higher than the league average. Aaron Nola strikes out 20.3% of the batters he faces, which is 6.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.
Garrett Hampson has 2 plate appearances against Aaron Nola in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 2 with a home run and
PA | AB | H | HR | 2/3B | 1B | K | BB | Avg | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Actual | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.500 |
Expected From Contact → | 0.54 | 0.25 | 0.26 | 0.03 | 0.270 |
Expected From Contact | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Date | Outcome | HR | 2/3B | 1B | Out |
2023-09-09 | Strikeout | ||||
2023-09-09 | Home Run | 25% | 26% | 3% | 46% |
Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.