Matchup Machine

Garrett Hampson

sometext

matchup for Aaron Nola

58th out of 436 (Best 14%)

sometext

Aaron Nola

sometext

matchup for Garrett Hampson

460th out of 567 (Worst 19%)

Strong advantage for Nola
7

Model Prediction

Garrett Hampson has a 26.8% chance of reaching base vs Aaron Nola, which is 2.8% lower than Hampson's typical expectations, and 2.7% lower than batters facing Nola.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction26.8%20.9%1.9%5.6%13.4%5.9%33.6%
Hampson-2.8+0.2+0.2+0.8-0.9-3.0+7.8
Nola-2.7-1.5-1.1-0.6+0.2-1.2+2.8

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Garrett Hampson is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Aaron Nola is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Hampson has a D- grade vs this particular release point.

Left Arrow
Show Vertical Release

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Aaron Nola throws a Kn-Curve 30% of the time. Garrett Hampson hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Kn-Curve (R)
30%
   4-Seam (R)
30%
   Sinker (R)
20%
   Changeup (R)
12%
   Cutter (R)
8%

Contact and Outcomes

15.9% of Garrett Hampson's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.2% higher than the league average. Aaron Nola strikes out 20.3% of the batters he faces, which is 6.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 13%         Strikeout +2.2% +6.3% 4%         Walk +0.1% -2.8% 40%         In Play -2.3% -3.5% 39%         On Base -1.2% -4.8% 31%         Hit -1.2% -2.0% 14%         Single +0.1% -0.8% 13%         2B / 3B +0.5% -0.7% 3%         Home Run -1.9% -0.5%

History

Garrett Hampson has 2 plate appearances against Aaron Nola in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 2 with a home run and

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual221100100.500
Expected From Contact →0.540.250.260.030.270
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2023-09-09Strikeout
2023-09-09Home Run25%26%3%46%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.