Matchup Machine

Garrett Hampson

sometext

matchup for Caleb Thielbar

93rd out of 436 (Best 22%)

sometext

Caleb Thielbar

sometext

matchup for Garrett Hampson

319th out of 567 (Worst 44%)

Moderate advantage for Thielbar
4

Model Prediction

Garrett Hampson has a 29.7% chance of reaching base vs Caleb Thielbar, which is 0.1% higher than Hampson's typical expectations, and 2.2% lower than batters facing Thielbar.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction29.7%19.8%1.8%5.2%12.8%9.9%29.5%
Hampson+0.1-0.9+0.2+0.4-1.5+1.0+3.7
Thielbar-2.2-2.0-1.4+0.1-0.7-0.2+1.5

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Garrett Hampson is slightly better vs left-handed pitching. Caleb Thielbar is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Hampson has a C grade vs this particular release point.

Left Arrow
Show Vertical Release

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Caleb Thielbar throws a 4-seam fastball 49% of the time. Garrett Hampson has a D+ grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
49%
   Slider (L)
29%
   Curve (L)
22%

Contact and Outcomes

15.9% of Garrett Hampson's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.2% higher than the league average. Caleb Thielbar strikes out 18.8% of the batters he faces, which is 5.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 13%         Strikeout +2.2% +5.2% 4%         Walk +0.1% +1.9% 40%         In Play -2.3% -7.1% 39%         On Base -1.2% -6.1% 31%         Hit -1.2% -8.0% 14%         Single +0.1% -4.3% 13%         2B / 3B +0.5% -3.9% 3%         Home Run -1.9% +0.2%

History

Garrett Hampson has 2 plate appearances against Caleb Thielbar in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 2.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual221001000.500
Expected From Contact →0.920.000.150.760.458
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-08-13Flyout99%
2022-06-26Single15%76%9%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.