Matchup Machine

Luis Guillorme

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matchup for Tarik Skubal

253rd out of 436 (Worst 42%)

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Tarik Skubal

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matchup for Luis Guillorme

555th out of 567 (Worst 2%)

Strong advantage for Skubal
7

Model Prediction

Luis Guillorme has a 26.1% chance of reaching base vs Tarik Skubal, which is 7.1% lower than Guillorme's typical expectations, and 0.8% higher than batters facing Skubal.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction26.1%20.6%1.4%4.2%15.1%5.5%26.2%
Guillorme-7.1-2.5-0.7-1.0-0.8-4.6+5.1
Skubal+0.8+0.6-0.8+0.1+1.3+0.2-3.6

Handedness and Release Point

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Luis Guillorme is worse vs left-handed pitching. Tarik Skubal is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Guillorme doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Tarik Skubal throws a 4-seam fastball 37% of the time. Luis Guillorme has an F grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
37%
   Slider (L)
21%
   Changeup (L)
20%
   Sinker (L)
16%
   Kn-Curve (L)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

11.4% of Luis Guillorme's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.4% lower than the league average. Tarik Skubal strikes out 20.2% of the batters he faces, which is 6.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 16%         Strikeout -5.4% +6.3% 3%         Walk +2.3% -3.3% 38%         In Play +3.1% -3.0% 39%         On Base +3.6% -5.6% 31%         Hit +1.3% -2.3% 14%         Single +1.4% -1.3% 13%         2B / 3B +2.1% -1.0% 3%         Home Run -2.2% 0.0%

History

No History in the last 3 years