Matchup Machine

Luis Guillorme

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matchup for Michael Wacha

304th out of 436 (Worst 31%)

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Michael Wacha

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matchup for Luis Guillorme

303rd out of 567 (Worst 47%)

Moderate advantage for Guillorme
4

Model Prediction

Luis Guillorme has a 32.4% chance of reaching base vs Michael Wacha, which is 0.8% lower than Guillorme's typical expectations, and 1.3% higher than batters facing Wacha.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction32.4%23.0%2.3%5.2%15.5%9.5%17.9%
Guillorme-0.8-0.2+0.20.0-0.4-0.7-3.1
Wacha+1.3-0.2-0.5+0.1+0.2+1.4-3.5

Handedness and Release Point

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Luis Guillorme is better vs right-handed pitching. Michael Wacha is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Guillorme has a C grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Michael Wacha throws a Changeup 32% of the time. Luis Guillorme has an A+ grade against right-handed Changeups

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Changeup (R)
32%
   4-Seam (R)
31%
   Cutter (R)
17%
   Sinker (R)
11%
   Curve (R)
8%

Contact and Outcomes

11.4% of Luis Guillorme's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.4% lower than the league average. Michael Wacha strikes out 16.3% of the batters he faces, which is 0.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 16%         Strikeout -5.4% +0.4% 3%         Walk +2.3% -2.0% 38%         In Play +3.1% +1.5% 39%         On Base +3.6% -3.0% 31%         Hit +1.3% -1.0% 14%         Single +1.4% -0.6% 13%         2B / 3B +2.1% -0.5% 3%         Home Run -2.2% +0.1%

History

Luis Guillorme has 3 plate appearances against Michael Wacha in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 2 with a walk

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual321001110.500
Expected From Contact →0.860.000.020.850.431
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-05-09Strikeout
2024-05-09Single2%85%14%
2024-05-09Walk

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.