Matchup Machine

Luis Guillorme

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matchup for Austin Gomber

263rd out of 436 (Worst 40%)

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Austin Gomber

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matchup for Luis Guillorme

164th out of 567 (Best 30%)

Strong advantage for Guillorme
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Model Prediction

Luis Guillorme has a 33.1% chance of reaching base vs Austin Gomber, which is 0.2% higher than Guillorme's typical expectations, and 1.4% higher than batters facing Gomber.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction33.1%26.3%2.2%6.9%17.2%6.7%15.6%
Guillorme-0.2+3.2+0.2+1.8+1.3-3.4-5.5
Gomber+1.4+0.4-1.1+0.3+1.3+0.9-2.2

Handedness and Release Point

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Luis Guillorme is worse vs left-handed pitching. Austin Gomber is left handed with a horizontal release toward the first base side. Guillorme has an F grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Austin Gomber throws a 4-seam fastball 42% of the time. Luis Guillorme has an F grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
42%
   Slider (L)
21%
   Kn-Curve (L)
18%
   Changeup (L)
18%

Contact and Outcomes

11.4% of Luis Guillorme's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.4% lower than the league average. Austin Gomber strikes out 13.7% of the batters he faces, which is 3.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 16%         Strikeout -5.4% -3.3% 3%         Walk +2.3% -2.5% 38%         In Play +3.1% +5.9% 39%         On Base +3.6% +0.6% 31%         Hit +1.3% +3.1% 14%         Single +1.4% +1.2% 13%         2B / 3B +2.1% +1.6% 3%         Home Run -2.2% +0.3%

History

Luis Guillorme has 3 plate appearances against Austin Gomber in the last 3 years. He is 2 for 3.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual332002000.667
Expected From Contact →1.670.000.071.600.556
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2022-05-22Flyout2%12%86%
2022-05-22Single5%61%35%
2022-05-22Single87%13%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.