Matchup Machine

Mitch Garver

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matchup for Hunter Gaddis

71st out of 436 (Best 17%)

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Hunter Gaddis

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matchup for Mitch Garver

487th out of 567 (Worst 14%)

Strong advantage for Gaddis
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Model Prediction

Mitch Garver has a 26.6% chance of reaching base vs Hunter Gaddis, which is 5.1% lower than Garver's typical expectations, and 0.7% lower than batters facing Gaddis.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction26.6%15.2%3.4%3.3%8.5%11.4%38.5%
Garver-5.1-1.9+0.7-0.5-2.1-3.3+7.1
Gaddis-0.7-4.2+0.3-1.1-3.3+3.4+11.5

Handedness and Release Point

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Mitch Garver is worse vs right-handed pitching. Hunter Gaddis is right handed with an extreme release toward the third base side. Garver has a B- grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Hunter Gaddis throws a 4-seam fastball 39% of the time. Mitch Garver has a B grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
39%
   Slider (R)
31%
   Changeup (R)
18%
   Cutter (R)
9%

Contact and Outcomes

18.2% of Mitch Garver's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 6.0% higher than the league average. Hunter Gaddis strikes out 15.5% of the batters he faces, which is 0.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 12%         Strikeout +6.0% -0.6% 3%         Walk +3.9% -1.7% 44%         In Play -10.0% +2.4% 39%         On Base -7.1% -5.5% 31%         Hit -11.0% -3.8% 14%         Single -6.2% -2.8% 13%         2B / 3B -5.8% -2.4% 3%         Home Run +1.0% +1.5%

History

Mitch Garver has 2 plate appearances against Hunter Gaddis in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 2 with a double and

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual221010100.500
Expected From Contact →0.730.000.670.070.366
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-06-18Double67%7%27%
2024-04-01Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.