Matchup Machine

Mitch Garver

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matchup for Jared Jones

86th out of 436 (Best 20%)

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Jared Jones

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matchup for Mitch Garver

412th out of 567 (Worst 28%)

Moderate advantage for Jones
5

Model Prediction

Mitch Garver has a 30.5% chance of reaching base vs Jared Jones, which is 1.3% lower than Garver's typical expectations, and 0.5% lower than batters facing Jones.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction30.5%15.5%2.9%3.1%9.4%15.0%39.0%
Garver-1.3-1.6+0.2-0.7-1.1+0.4+7.6
Jones-0.5-5.30.0-1.9-3.4+4.8+10.5

Handedness and Release Point

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Mitch Garver is worse vs right-handed pitching. Jared Jones is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Garver has a D grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Jared Jones throws a 4-seam fastball 49% of the time. Mitch Garver has a B grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
49%
   Slider (R)
35%
   Curve (R)
9%
   Changeup (R)
7%

Contact and Outcomes

18.2% of Mitch Garver's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 6.0% higher than the league average. Jared Jones strikes out 15.6% of the batters he faces, which is 0.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 12%         Strikeout +6.0% +0.4% 3%         Walk +3.9% +0.6% 44%         In Play -10.0% -1.1% 39%         On Base -7.1% -0.1% 31%         Hit -11.0% -0.8% 14%         Single -6.2% -1.1% 13%         2B / 3B -5.8% -0.5% 3%         Home Run +1.0% +0.9%

History

No History in the last 3 years