Matchup Machine

Mitch Garver

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matchup for Ryan Weathers

164th out of 436 (Best 38%)

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Ryan Weathers

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matchup for Mitch Garver

375th out of 567 (Worst 34%)

Moderate advantage for Weathers
4

Model Prediction

Mitch Garver has a 30.7% chance of reaching base vs Ryan Weathers, which is 1.1% lower than Garver's typical expectations, and 0.8% higher than batters facing Weathers.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction30.7%17.0%2.0%4.7%10.2%13.8%32.7%
Garver-1.1-0.1-0.7+0.8-0.3-0.9+1.2
Weathers+0.8-4.60.0-0.8-3.7+5.4+7.9

Handedness and Release Point

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Mitch Garver is better vs left-handed pitching. Ryan Weathers is left handed with an extreme release toward the first base side. Garver has an A grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Ryan Weathers throws a 4-seam fastball 44% of the time. Mitch Garver has an A+ grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
44%
   Slider (L)
25%
   Changeup (L)
18%
   Sinker (L)
13%

Contact and Outcomes

18.2% of Mitch Garver's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 6.0% higher than the league average. Ryan Weathers strikes out 14.3% of the batters he faces, which is 2.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 12%         Strikeout +6.0% -2.1% 3%         Walk +3.9% -0.6% 44%         In Play -10.0% +2.7% 39%         On Base -7.1% +0.9% 31%         Hit -11.0% +1.5% 14%         Single -6.2% +0.9% 13%         2B / 3B -5.8% +1.2% 3%         Home Run +1.0% -0.5%

History

No History in the last 3 years