Matchup Machine

Mitch Garver

sometext

matchup for Garrett Crochet

163rd out of 436 (Best 38%)

sometext

Garrett Crochet

sometext

matchup for Mitch Garver

500th out of 567 (Worst 12%)

Strong advantage for Crochet
8

Model Prediction

Mitch Garver has a 26.7% chance of reaching base vs Garrett Crochet, which is 5.1% lower than Garver's typical expectations, and 0.8% lower than batters facing Crochet.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction26.7%17.4%2.9%4.4%10.0%9.3%42.5%
Garver-5.1+0.3+0.2+0.6-0.5-5.4+11.1
Crochet-0.8-3.5+0.5-0.6-3.4+2.8+7.2

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Mitch Garver is better vs left-handed pitching. Garrett Crochet is left handed with an extreme release toward the first base side. Garver has an A grade vs this particular release point.

Left Arrow
Show Vertical Release

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Garrett Crochet throws a 4-seam fastball 58% of the time. Mitch Garver has an A+ grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
58%
   Cutter (L)
18%
   Slider (L)
16%
   Changeup (L)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

18.2% of Mitch Garver's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 6.0% higher than the league average. Garrett Crochet strikes out 21.3% of the batters he faces, which is 9.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 12%         Strikeout +6.0% +9.4% 3%         Walk +3.9% -1.3% 44%         In Play -10.0% -8.1% 39%         On Base -7.1% -3.9% 31%         Hit -11.0% -2.5% 14%         Single -6.2% -1.4% 13%         2B / 3B -5.8% -1.1% 3%         Home Run +1.0% +0.1%

History

Mitch Garver has 5 plate appearances against Garrett Crochet in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 5 with a strikeout.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual550000100.000
Expected From Contact →1.000.270.380.340.200
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-07-28Groundout28%72%
2024-07-28Strikeout
2024-06-13Pop Out100%
2024-06-13Flyout27%15%58%
2024-06-13Groundout23%6%71%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.