Mitch Garver has a 29.3% chance of reaching base vs Tanner Bibee, which is 2.5% lower than Garver's typical expectations, and 1.8% lower than batters facing Bibee.
Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction | 29.3% | 15.4% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 9.8% | 13.9% | 36.9% |
Garver | -2.5 | -1.7 | -0.4 | -0.6 | -0.8 | -0.8 | +5.4 |
Bibee | -1.8 | -6.6 | -0.4 | -1.9 | -4.3 | +4.8 | +11.7 |
Mitch Garver is worse vs right-handed pitching. Tanner Bibee is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Garver has a D+ grade vs this particular release point.
Tanner Bibee throws a 4-seam fastball 45% of the time. Mitch Garver has a B grade against right-handed 4-seamers
18.2% of Mitch Garver's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 6.0% higher than the league average. Tanner Bibee strikes out 17.7% of the batters he faces, which is 2.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.
Mitch Garver has 3 plate appearances against Tanner Bibee in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 3 with a strikeout.
PA | AB | H | HR | 2/3B | 1B | K | BB | Avg | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Actual | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.000 |
Expected From Contact → | 0.14 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.14 | 0.048 |
Expected From Contact | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Date | Outcome | HR | 2/3B | 1B | Out |
2023-09-16 | Strikeout | ||||
2023-09-16 | Groundout | 14% | 86% |
Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.