Matchup Machine

Mitch Garver

sometext

matchup for Tanner Bibee

40th out of 436 (Best 10%)

sometext

Tanner Bibee

sometext

matchup for Mitch Garver

455th out of 567 (Worst 20%)

Strong advantage for Bibee
6

Model Prediction

Mitch Garver has a 29.3% chance of reaching base vs Tanner Bibee, which is 2.5% lower than Garver's typical expectations, and 1.8% lower than batters facing Bibee.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction29.3%15.4%2.4%3.3%9.8%13.9%36.9%
Garver-2.5-1.7-0.4-0.6-0.8-0.8+5.4
Bibee-1.8-6.6-0.4-1.9-4.3+4.8+11.7

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Mitch Garver is worse vs right-handed pitching. Tanner Bibee is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Garver has a D+ grade vs this particular release point.

Left Arrow
Show Vertical Release

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Tanner Bibee throws a 4-seam fastball 45% of the time. Mitch Garver has a B grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
45%
   Slider (R)
27%
   Changeup (R)
17%
   Curve (R)
9%

Contact and Outcomes

18.2% of Mitch Garver's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 6.0% higher than the league average. Tanner Bibee strikes out 17.7% of the batters he faces, which is 2.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 12%         Strikeout +6.0% +2.8% 3%         Walk +3.9% -1.3% 44%         In Play -10.0% -1.5% 39%         On Base -7.1% -1.1% 31%         Hit -11.0% +0.2% 14%         Single -6.2% -0.3% 13%         2B / 3B -5.8% +0.2% 3%         Home Run +1.0% +0.2%

History

Mitch Garver has 3 plate appearances against Tanner Bibee in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 3 with a strikeout.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual330000100.000
Expected From Contact →0.140.000.000.140.048
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2023-09-16Strikeout
2023-09-16Groundout14%86%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.