matchup for Jordan Hicks
matchup for Mitch Garver
7
Mitch Garver has a 38.3% chance of reaching base vs Jordan Hicks, which is 6.6% higher than Garver's typical expectations, and 1.3% higher than batters facing Hicks.
| Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prediction | 38.3% | 17.0% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 10.5% | 21.3% | 27.6% |
| Garver | +6.6 | -0.1 | -0.1 | +0.0 | 0.0 | +6.7 | -3.9 |
| Hicks | +1.3 | -7.2 | -0.3 | -1.0 | -5.8 | +8.5 | +6.7 |
Mitch Garver is worse vs right-handed pitching. Jordan Hicks is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Garver has a B grade vs this particular release point.
Jordan Hicks throws a Sinker 63% of the time. Mitch Garver has a B grade against right-handed Sinkers
Pitch Type
% of Arsenal
Sinker (R)
63%
Slider (R)
25%
Splitter (R)
6%
12% of Jordan Hicks's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 4% higher than the MLB average. Mitch Garver has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.
Pitch Label
% vs MLB
Weak Challenge
12%
+4%
Non-Competitive
14%
+1%
Edge Painter
18%
+1%
Strong Challenge
6%
+1%
Chaser
6%
0%
Mid Challenge
11%
0%
Likely Ball
19%
0%
Fringe Miss
12%
-1%
Meatball
2%
-4%
44% of Jordan Hicks's pitches are classified as Extreme Fast Velocity, which is 41% higher than the MLB average. Mitch Garver hasn't faced this type of pitch enough to assign a grade.
Physical Trait
% vs MLB
Extreme Fast Velo
44%
+41%
Extreme Break
39%
+25%
Fastball (R)
68%
+14%
Just Gravity
27%
+14%
18.2% of Mitch Garver's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 6.0% higher than the league average. Jordan Hicks strikes out 13.8% of the batters he faces, which is 1.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.
12%
Strikeout
+6.0%
-1.4%
3%
Walk
+3.9%
+1.8%
44%
In Play
-10.0%
-0.4%
39%
On Base
-7.1%
+2.1%
31%
Hit
-11.0%
+0.3%
14%
Single
-6.2%
+0.4%
13%
2B / 3B
-5.8%
+0.5%
3%
Home Run
+1.0%
-0.6%
29.9% of Mitch Garver's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 4.5% lower than the league average. Jordan Hicks induces Standard Grounders at a 40.7% rate, which is 6.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.
0%
Squib/Bunt
-0.4%
-0.3%
34%
Standard Grounder
-4.5%
+6.3%
7%
Hard Grounder
+0.8%
-0.8%
14%
Low Screamer
-1.3%
-4.7%
9%
Rising Liner
+1.3%
+0.3%
4%
Maybe Homer
+1.1%
+0.8%
3%
Likely Homer
+0.7%
+1.8%
1%
No Doubter
+1.5%
-0.8%
20%
Routine Flyout
+0.1%
-1.2%
3%
Pop up
+0.8%
-1.4%
26.5% of Mitch Garver's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 2.2% higher than the league average. 27.6% of batted balls allowed by Jordan Hicks are hit at above 100 mph, which is 3.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.
16%
Below 75 mph
-1.3%
+0.8%
21%
75 to 86 mph
-0.2%
-0.4%
18%
87 to 93 mph
-1.9%
-4.2%
19%
94 to 99 mph
+1.2%
+0.4%
24%
Above 100 mph
+2.2%
+3.3%
10.6% of Mitch Garver's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.8% lower than the league average. 7.9% of batted balls allowed by Jordan Hicks are hit at this angle, which is 3.5% lower than the typical MLB rate.
17%
Below -10°
-1.8%
+1.5%
12%
-10 to 0°
-2.3%
+5.2%
8%
1 to 6°
-0.8%
-2.7%
18%
7 to 18°
-0.5%
+0.6%
15%
19 to 28°
+1.5%
+3.5%
11%
29 to 38°
-0.8%
-3.5%
7%
39 to 50°
+2.1%
-2.4%
8%
Above 50°
+2.6%
-2.3%
Mitch Garver has 1 plate appearance against Jordan Hicks in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 1.
| PA | AB | H | HR | 2/3B | 1B | K | BB | Avg | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1.000 |
| Expected From Contact → | 0.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.10 | 0.106 | ||||
| Expected From Contact | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Outcome | HR | 2/3B | 1B | Out |
| 2023-09-13 | Single | 10% | 89% | ||
Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.
