Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Mitch Garver

matchup for Aaron Civale

53rd out of 436 (Best 13%)

Aaron Civale

matchup for Mitch Garver

419th out of 567 (Worst 26%)

Strong advantage for Civale

Mitch Garver has a 28.1% chance of reaching base vs Aaron Civale, which is 3.7% lower than Garver's typical expectations, and 1.4% lower than batters facing Civale.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	28.1%	16.1%	2.7%	3.3%	10.2%	12.0%	29.9%
Garver	-3.7	-1.0	-0.1	-0.6	-0.4	-2.7	-1.6
Civale	-1.4	-5.3	-0.5	-1.0	-3.8	+4.0	+8.5

Mitch Garver is worse vs right-handed pitching. Aaron Civale is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Garver has a B grade vs this particular release point.

Aaron Civale throws a Cutter 32% of the time. Mitch Garver has a B+ grade against right-handed Cutters

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Cutter (R)

32%

Sinker (R)

21%

Curve (R)

20%

4-Seam (R)

11%

Slider (R)

10%

21% of Aaron Civale's pitches are classified as Likely Balls, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Mitch Garver has a C grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Likely Ball 21%

+2%

Chaser 7%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+1%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Strong Challenge 5%

Weak Challenge 8%

Meatball 6%

Mid Challenge 10%

-1%

Non-Competitive 11%

-2%

20% of Aaron Civale's pitches are classified as Extreme Drop, which is 15% higher than the MLB average. Mitch Garver has an F grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Extreme Drop 20%

+15%

Medium Break 24%

+15%

Extreme Slow Velo 16%

+11%

Fastball (R) 64%

+10%

18.2% of Mitch Garver's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 6.0% higher than the league average. Aaron Civale strikes out 16.0% of the batters he faces, which is 0.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

12%

Strikeout +6.0% +0.4% 3%

Walk +3.9% -1.3% 44%

In Play -10.0% +1.0% 39%

On Base -7.1% -0.9% 31%

Hit -11.0% +0.5% 14%

Single -6.2% 0.0% 13%

2B / 3B -5.8% +0.3% 3%

Home Run +1.0% +0.1%

29.9% of Mitch Garver's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 4.5% lower than the league average. Aaron Civale induces Standard Grounders at a 34.5% rate, which is 0.1% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.4% -0.1% 34%

Standard Grounder -4.5% +0.1% 7%

Hard Grounder +0.8% -0.7% 14%

Low Screamer -1.3% -1.3% 9%

Rising Liner +1.2% +1.8% 4%

Maybe Homer +1.1% -1.1% 3%

Likely Homer +0.7% +0.2% 1%

No Doubter +1.5% +0.1% 20%

Routine Flyout +0.1% -0.7% 3%

Pop up +0.8% +1.8%

26.4% of Mitch Garver's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 2.1% higher than the league average. 25.0% of batted balls allowed by Aaron Civale are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -1.2% +0.4% 21%

75 to 86 mph -0.2% +1.9% 18%

87 to 93 mph -1.9% +0.0% 19%

94 to 99 mph +1.2% -3.0% 24%

Above 100 mph +2.1% +0.7%

10.7% of Mitch Garver's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.8% lower than the league average. 11.7% of batted balls allowed by Aaron Civale are hit at this angle, which is 0.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%