Matchup Machine

Mitch Garver

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matchup for Tyler Mahle

80th out of 436 (Best 19%)

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Tyler Mahle

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matchup for Mitch Garver

out of 567 (Worst %)

Moderate advantage for Mahle
5

Model Prediction

Mitch Garver has a 30.0% chance of reaching base vs Tyler Mahle, which is 1.8% lower than Garver's typical expectations, and 0.4% higher than batters facing Mahle.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction30.0%15.3%2.9%3.2%9.2%14.6%33.7%
Garver-1.8-1.8+0.2-0.7-1.30.0+2.3
Mahle-0.4-5.7-0.4-1.1-4.1+5.3+8.5

Handedness and Release Point

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Mitch Garver is worse vs right-handed pitching. Tyler Mahle is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Garver has a B grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Tyler Mahle throws a 4-seam fastball 55% of the time. Mitch Garver has a B grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
55%
   Slider (R)
19%
   Splitter (R)
16%
   Curve (R)
5%

Contact and Outcomes

18.2% of Mitch Garver's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 6.0% higher than the league average. Tyler Mahle strikes out 23.6% of the batters he faces, which is 10.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 12%         Strikeout +6.0% +10.2% 3%         Walk +3.9% -1.2% 44%         In Play -10.0% -9.0% 39%         On Base -7.1% -5.6% 31%         Hit -11.0% -4.3% 14%         Single -6.2% -1.6% 13%         2B / 3B -5.8% -1.4% 3%         Home Run +1.0% -1.4%

History

No History in the last 3 years