Matchup Machine

Mitch Garver

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matchup for Austin Gomber

124th out of 436 (Best 29%)

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Austin Gomber

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matchup for Mitch Garver

161st out of 567 (Best 29%)

Moderate advantage for Garver
4

Model Prediction

Mitch Garver has a 31.1% chance of reaching base vs Austin Gomber, which is 0.7% lower than Garver's typical expectations, and 0.7% lower than batters facing Gomber.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction31.1%20.5%3.1%5.8%11.5%10.6%21.4%
Garver-0.7+3.3+0.4+2.0+1.0-4.1-10.1
Gomber-0.7-5.4-0.2-0.8-4.4+4.8+3.6

Handedness and Release Point

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Mitch Garver is better vs left-handed pitching. Austin Gomber is left handed with a horizontal release toward the first base side. Garver has a C- grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Austin Gomber throws a 4-seam fastball 42% of the time. Mitch Garver has an A+ grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
42%
   Slider (L)
21%
   Kn-Curve (L)
18%
   Changeup (L)
18%

Contact and Outcomes

18.2% of Mitch Garver's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 6.0% higher than the league average. Austin Gomber strikes out 13.7% of the batters he faces, which is 3.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 12%         Strikeout +6.0% -3.3% 3%         Walk +3.9% -2.5% 44%         In Play -10.0% +5.9% 39%         On Base -7.1% +0.6% 31%         Hit -11.0% +3.1% 14%         Single -6.2% +1.2% 13%         2B / 3B -5.8% +1.6% 3%         Home Run +1.0% +0.3%

History

Mitch Garver has 2 plate appearances against Austin Gomber in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 2 with a strikeout.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual221001100.500
Expected From Contact →0.930.000.020.910.463
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2022-04-11Single2%91%7%
2022-04-11Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.