Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Jake Fraley

matchup for Y. Yamamoto

245th out of 436 (Worst 44%)

Yoshinobu Yamamoto

matchup for Jake Fraley

469th out of 567 (Worst 17%)

Moderate advantage for Yamamoto

Jake Fraley has a 28.6% chance of reaching base vs Yoshinobu Yamamoto, which is 1.8% lower than Fraley's typical expectations, and 0.6% lower than batters facing Yamamoto.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	28.6%	23.0%	1.7%	3.6%	17.7%	5.6%	21.2%
Fraley	-1.8	-0.7	-0.4	-1.6	+1.3	-1.1	+1.4
Yamamoto	-0.6	+2.7	-0.6	-0.3	+3.6	-3.3	-6.6

Jake Fraley is better vs right-handed pitching. Yoshinobu Yamamoto is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Fraley has a C grade vs this particular release point.

Yoshinobu Yamamoto throws a 4-seam fastball 41% of the time. Jake Fraley has a B grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

41%

Splitter (R)

24%

Curve (R)

22%

Cutter (R)

7% of Yoshinobu Yamamoto's pitches are classified as Strong Challenges, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Jake Fraley has an F grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Strong Challenge 7%

+2%

Mid Challenge 13%

+2%

Edge Painter 19%

+2%

Fringe Miss 14%

+2%

Weak Challenge 9%

+0%

Chaser 6%

Likely Ball 18%

-1%

Non-Competitive 10%

-3%

Meatball 3%

-3%

43% of Yoshinobu Yamamoto's pitches are classified as Medium Break Toward Third Base, which is 24% higher than the MLB average. Jake Fraley has a C grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Medium Break 43%

+24%

Extreme Drop 22%

+17%

Offspeed (R) 24%

+13%

Extreme Slow Velo 17%

+12%

11.3% of Jake Fraley's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.5% lower than the league average. Yoshinobu Yamamoto strikes out 19.9% of the batters he faces, which is 3.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Strikeout -5.5% +3.3% 5%

Walk -1.6% -1.8% 37%

In Play +7.2% -1.4% 39%

On Base +2.3% +1.2% 31%

Hit +3.9% +3.1% 14%

Single +2.3% +1.0% 13%

2B / 3B +2.7% +1.6% 3%

Home Run -1.1% +0.5%

37.1% of Jake Fraley's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 2.7% higher than the league average. Yoshinobu Yamamoto induces Standard Grounders at a 41.4% rate, which is 7.0% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.3% +1.5% 34%

Standard Grounder +2.7% +7.0% 7%

Hard Grounder -4.5% +3.1% 14%

Low Screamer +7.0% -2.7% 9%

Rising Liner -1.3% -0.4% 4%

Maybe Homer -1.4% +1.8% 3%

Likely Homer +0.7% -1.9% 1%

No Doubter -0.2% -1.2% 20%

Routine Flyout -3.1% -6.6% 3%

Pop up +0.4% -0.5%

16.4% of Jake Fraley's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 7.9% lower than the league average. 26.9% of batted balls allowed by Yoshinobu Yamamoto are hit at above 100 mph, which is 2.6% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +10.8% +5.5% 21%

75 to 86 mph +3.0% -0.8% 18%

87 to 93 mph -0.6% -7.7% 19%

94 to 99 mph -5.2% +0.4% 24%

Above 100 mph -7.9% +2.6%

11.4% of Jake Fraley's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.0% higher than the league average. 8.7% of batted balls allowed by Yoshinobu Yamamoto are hit at this angle, which is 2.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° +1.3% +7.6% 12%

-10 to 0° -3.8% +5.9% 8%

1 to 6° -3.0% -2.9% 18%

7 to 18° +1.5% +0.4% 15%

19 to 28° +1.4% -3.8% 11%

29 to 38° +0.0% -2.7% 7%

39 to 50° +0.2% -1.1% 8%

Above 50° +2.5% -3.3%

Jake Fraley has 3 plate appearances against Yoshinobu Yamamoto in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 3 with a strikeout.

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	3	3	1	0	0	1	1	0	0.333
Expected From Contact →			0.43	0.00	0.01	0.41			0.142

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-05-26	Strikeout
2024-05-26	Single			41%	58%
2024-05-26	Forceout				99%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

Matchup Machine
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