Matchup Machine

Jake Fraley

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matchup for Ryan Johnson

250th out of 436 (Worst 43%)

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Ryan Johnson

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matchup for Jake Fraley

out of 567 (Worst %)

Strong advantage for Fraley
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Model Prediction

Jake Fraley has a 34.6% chance of reaching base vs Ryan Johnson, which is 4.3% higher than Fraley's typical expectations, and 0.3% higher than batters facing Johnson.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction34.6%26.2%2.1%6.5%17.6%8.5%15.8%
Fraley+4.3+2.50.0+1.3+1.2+1.7-4.1
Johnson-0.3+2.7-0.9+0.4+3.2-3.0-4.1

Handedness and Release Point

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Jake Fraley is better vs right-handed pitching. Ryan Johnson is right handed .

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On the Way to the Plate

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Ryan Johnson throws a Cutter 62% of the time. Jake Fraley has a B+ grade against right-handed Cutters

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Cutter (R)
62%
   Sinker (R)
18%
   4-Seam (R)
9%
   Changeup (R)
9%

Contact and Outcomes

11.3% of Jake Fraley's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.5% lower than the league average. Ryan Johnson strikes out 10.0% of the batters he faces, which is 14.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 16%         Strikeout -5.5% -14.4% 5%         Walk -1.6% +2.1% 37%         In Play +7.2% +12.3% 39%         On Base +2.3% +6.0% 31%         Hit +3.9% +3.9% 14%         Single +2.3% -6.4% 13%         2B / 3B +2.7% -5.9% 3%         Home Run -1.1% +16.2%

History

No History in the last 3 years