matchup for Daniel Palencia
matchup for Jake Fraley
2
Jake Fraley has a 33.3% chance of reaching base vs Daniel Palencia, which is 2.8% higher than Fraley's typical expectations, and 1.5% lower than batters facing Palencia.
| Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prediction | 33.3% | 21.6% | 2.0% | 4.1% | 15.4% | 11.6% | 22.9% |
| Fraley | +2.8 | -2.2 | -0.2 | -0.8 | -1.3 | +5.0 | +3.3 |
| Palencia | -1.5 | +2.2 | -0.3 | +0.3 | +2.2 | -3.7 | -4.4 |
Jake Fraley is better vs right-handed pitching. Daniel Palencia is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Fraley has a C+ grade vs this particular release point.
Daniel Palencia throws a 4-seam fastball 61% of the time. Jake Fraley has a B grade against right-handed 4-seamers
Pitch Type
% of Arsenal
4-Seam (R)
61%
Slider (R)
29%
Sinker (R)
6%
11% of Daniel Palencia's pitches are classified as Strong Challenges, which is 6% higher than the MLB average. Jake Fraley has an F grade against this type of pitch.
Pitch Label
% vs MLB
Strong Challenge
11%
+6%
Mid Challenge
14%
+3%
Non-Competitive
15%
+3%
Edge Painter
17%
0%
Fringe Miss
12%
-1%
Chaser
5%
-1%
Likely Ball
18%
-2%
Weak Challenge
5%
-3%
Meatball
2%
-4%
42% of Daniel Palencia's pitches are classified as Extreme Fast Velocity, which is 39% higher than the MLB average. Jake Fraley hasn't faced this type of pitch enough to assign a grade.
Physical Trait
% vs MLB
Extreme Fast Velo
42%
+39%
Medium Ride
36%
+22%
Large Break
43%
+22%
Fastball (R)
67%
+13%
11.3% of Jake Fraley's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.5% lower than the league average. Daniel Palencia strikes out 18.0% of the batters he faces, which is 4.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.
16%
Strikeout
-5.5%
+4.4%
5%
Walk
-1.6%
+3.4%
37%
In Play
+7.2%
-7.8%
39%
On Base
+2.3%
-0.7%
31%
Hit
+3.9%
-4.2%
14%
Single
+2.3%
-2.0%
13%
2B / 3B
+2.7%
-1.6%
3%
Home Run
-1.1%
-0.6%
37.1% of Jake Fraley's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 2.7% higher than the league average. Daniel Palencia induces Standard Grounders at a 40.2% rate, which is 5.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.
0%
Squib/Bunt
-0.3%
+0.4%
34%
Standard Grounder
+2.7%
+5.8%
7%
Hard Grounder
-4.5%
+2.9%
14%
Low Screamer
+7.0%
-0.4%
9%
Rising Liner
-1.3%
-2.8%
4%
Maybe Homer
-1.4%
-0.2%
3%
Likely Homer
+0.7%
-1.4%
1%
No Doubter
-0.2%
-1.2%
20%
Routine Flyout
-3.1%
-3.5%
3%
Pop up
+0.4%
+0.4%
16.4% of Jake Fraley's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 7.9% lower than the league average. 32.4% of batted balls allowed by Daniel Palencia are hit at above 100 mph, which is 8.1% higher than the typical MLB rate.
16%
Below 75 mph
+10.8%
-4.6%
21%
75 to 86 mph
+3.0%
-1.2%
18%
87 to 93 mph
-0.6%
+0.9%
19%
94 to 99 mph
-5.2%
-3.1%
24%
Above 100 mph
-7.9%
+8.1%
11.4% of Jake Fraley's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.0% higher than the league average. 4.7% of batted balls allowed by Daniel Palencia are hit at this angle, which is 6.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.
17%
Below -10°
+1.3%
+3.5%
12%
-10 to 0°
-3.8%
-3.2%
8%
1 to 6°
-3.0%
+2.6%
18%
7 to 18°
+1.5%
+5.2%
15%
19 to 28°
+1.4%
+2.1%
11%
29 to 38°
+0.0%
-6.8%
7%
39 to 50°
+0.2%
-3.5%
8%
Above 50°
+2.5%
+0.0%
Jake Fraley has 1 plate appearance against Daniel Palencia in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 1 with a strikeout.
| PA | AB | H | HR | 2/3B | 1B | K | BB | Avg | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.000 |
| Expected From Contact → | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.000 | ||||
| Expected From Contact | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Outcome | HR | 2/3B | 1B | Out |
| 2023-09-03 | Strikeout | ||||
Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.
