Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Jake Fraley

matchup for Tim Herrin

186th out of 436 (Best 43%)

Tim Herrin

matchup for Jake Fraley

452nd out of 567 (Worst 20%)

Moderate advantage for Herrin

Jake Fraley has a 29.1% chance of reaching base vs Tim Herrin, which is 1.3% lower than Fraley's typical expectations, and 1.7% lower than batters facing Herrin.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	29.1%	21.2%	1.4%	4.6%	15.2%	8.0%	21.7%
Fraley	-1.3	-2.5	-0.7	-0.6	-1.2	+1.2	+1.8
Herrin	-1.7	+1.3	-0.7	+0.3	+1.7	-2.9	-5.6

Jake Fraley is worse vs left-handed pitching. Tim Herrin is left handed with a horizontal release toward the first base side. Fraley has a C grade vs this particular release point.

Tim Herrin throws a Slider 33% of the time. Jake Fraley has a C+ grade against left-handed Sliders

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Slider (L)

33%

4-Seam (L)

31%

Curve (L)

26%

Sinker (L)

10%

21% of Tim Herrin's pitches are classified as Likely Balls, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Jake Fraley has a C grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Likely Ball 21%

+2%

Weak Challenge 11%

+2%

Chaser 7%

+1%

Mid Challenge 13%

+1%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Strong Challenge 4%

-1%

Fringe Miss 11%

-1%

Non-Competitive 10%

-3%

Meatball 3%

-3%

59% of Tim Herrin's pitches are classified as Breaking Pitches, which is 29% higher than the MLB average. Jake Fraley has a C grade against this type of pitch from left handers.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Breaking (L) 59%

+29%

Small Drop 29%

+17%

Very Fast Velo 16%

+13%

Medium Break 20%

+11%

11.3% of Jake Fraley's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.5% lower than the league average. Tim Herrin strikes out 18.1% of the batters he faces, which is 1.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Strikeout -5.5% +1.8% 5%

Walk -1.6% +1.9% 37%

In Play +7.2% -3.7% 39%

On Base +2.3% -3.4% 31%

Hit +3.9% -5.3% 14%

Single +2.3% -2.2% 13%

2B / 3B +2.7% -2.1% 3%

Home Run -1.1% -1.0%

37.1% of Jake Fraley's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 2.7% higher than the league average. Tim Herrin induces Standard Grounders at a 44.5% rate, which is 10.1% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.3% -0.5% 34%

Standard Grounder +2.7% +10.1% 7%

Hard Grounder -4.5% -1.9% 14%

Low Screamer +7.0% +1.4% 9%

Rising Liner -1.3% +1.4% 4%

Maybe Homer -1.4% -0.9% 3%

Likely Homer +0.7% -1.0% 1%

No Doubter -0.2% -0.4% 20%

Routine Flyout -3.1% -8.0% 3%

Pop up +0.4% -0.3%

16.4% of Jake Fraley's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 7.9% lower than the league average. 19.6% of batted balls allowed by Tim Herrin are hit at above 100 mph, which is 4.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +10.8% +6.8% 21%

75 to 86 mph +3.0% +1.8% 18%

87 to 93 mph -0.6% -5.2% 19%

94 to 99 mph -5.2% +1.3% 24%

Above 100 mph -7.9% -4.8%

11.4% of Jake Fraley's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.0% higher than the league average. 5.8% of batted balls allowed by Tim Herrin are hit at this angle, which is 5.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%