Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Jake Fraley

matchup for Ryan Weathers

239th out of 436 (Worst 45%)

Ryan Weathers

matchup for Jake Fraley

382nd out of 567 (Worst 33%)

Leans in favor of Weathers

Jake Fraley has a 29.3% chance of reaching base vs Ryan Weathers, which is 1.1% lower than Fraley's typical expectations, and 0.6% lower than batters facing Weathers.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	29.3%	24.3%	1.4%	6.0%	16.9%	5.0%	19.8%
Fraley	-1.1	+0.6	-0.8	+0.9	+0.5	-1.7	-0.1
Weathers	-0.6	+2.7	-0.7	+0.5	+3.0	-3.3	-5.0

Jake Fraley is worse vs left-handed pitching. Ryan Weathers is left handed with an extreme release toward the first base side. Fraley has a D grade vs this particular release point.

Ryan Weathers throws a 4-seam fastball 44% of the time. Jake Fraley has a D- grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (L)

44%

Slider (L)

25%

Changeup (L)

18%

Sinker (L)

13%

12% of Ryan Weathers's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 1% higher than the MLB average. Jake Fraley has a C- grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 12%

+1%

Likely Ball 21%

+1%

Strong Challenge 6%

+1%

Non-Competitive 13%

+0%

Fringe Miss 12%

Edge Painter 17%

Weak Challenge 8%

Meatball 5%

-1%

Chaser 5%

-1%

53% of Ryan Weathers's pitches are classified as Large Break Toward Third Base, which is 32% higher than the MLB average. Jake Fraley has an F grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Large Break 53%

+32%

Fast Velo 28%

+19%

Low Ride 37%

+14%

11.3% of Jake Fraley's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.5% lower than the league average. Ryan Weathers strikes out 14.3% of the batters he faces, which is 2.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Strikeout -5.5% -2.1% 5%

Walk -1.6% -0.6% 37%

In Play +7.2% +2.7% 39%

On Base +2.3% +0.9% 31%

Hit +3.9% +1.5% 14%

Single +2.3% +0.9% 13%

2B / 3B +2.7% +1.2% 3%

Home Run -1.1% -0.5%

37.1% of Jake Fraley's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 2.7% higher than the league average. Ryan Weathers induces Standard Grounders at a 40.1% rate, which is 5.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.3% +0.3% 34%

Standard Grounder +2.7% +5.7% 7%

Hard Grounder -4.5% -0.6% 14%

Low Screamer +7.0% -1.1% 9%

Rising Liner -1.3% -1.3% 4%

Maybe Homer -1.4% +1.4% 3%

Likely Homer +0.7% -0.7% 1%

No Doubter -0.2% +0.5% 20%

Routine Flyout -3.1% -5.5% 3%

Pop up +0.4% +1.2%

16.4% of Jake Fraley's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 7.9% lower than the league average. 25.4% of batted balls allowed by Ryan Weathers are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.1% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +10.8% +0.6% 21%

75 to 86 mph +3.0% +1.0% 18%

87 to 93 mph -0.6% -0.7% 19%

94 to 99 mph -5.2% -2.0% 24%

Above 100 mph -7.9% +1.1%

11.4% of Jake Fraley's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.0% higher than the league average. 7.7% of batted balls allowed by Ryan Weathers are hit at this angle, which is 3.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%