Matchup Machine

Jake Fraley

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matchup for Garrett Crochet

164th out of 436 (Best 38%)

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Garrett Crochet

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matchup for Jake Fraley

551st out of 567 (Worst 3%)

Strong advantage for Crochet
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Model Prediction

Jake Fraley has a 25.5% chance of reaching base vs Garrett Crochet, which is 4.9% lower than Fraley's typical expectations, and 1.9% lower than batters facing Crochet.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction25.5%21.3%1.5%4.9%14.9%4.2%31.0%
Fraley-4.9-2.4-0.6-0.3-1.5-2.5+11.1
Crochet-1.9+0.4-0.9-0.2+1.4-2.3-4.3

Handedness and Release Point

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Jake Fraley is worse vs left-handed pitching. Garrett Crochet is left handed with an extreme release toward the first base side. Fraley has a D grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Garrett Crochet throws a 4-seam fastball 58% of the time. Jake Fraley has a D- grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
58%
   Cutter (L)
18%
   Slider (L)
16%
   Changeup (L)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

11.3% of Jake Fraley's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.5% lower than the league average. Garrett Crochet strikes out 21.3% of the batters he faces, which is 9.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 16%         Strikeout -5.5% +9.4% 5%         Walk -1.6% -1.3% 37%         In Play +7.2% -8.1% 39%         On Base +2.3% -3.9% 31%         Hit +3.9% -2.5% 14%         Single +2.3% -1.4% 13%         2B / 3B +2.7% -1.1% 3%         Home Run -1.1% +0.1%

History

No History in the last 3 years