Matchup Machine

Jake Fraley

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matchup for G. Cleavinger

227th out of 436 (Worst 48%)

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Garrett Cleavinger

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matchup for Jake Fraley

285th out of 567 (Best 51%)

Leans in favor of Fraley
2

Model Prediction

Jake Fraley has a 32.7% chance of reaching base vs Garrett Cleavinger, which is 2.3% higher than Fraley's typical expectations, and 0.2% higher than batters facing Cleavinger.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction32.7%23.7%1.4%4.2%18.1%9.0%19.0%
Fraley+2.3+0.0-0.7-0.9+1.7+2.3-0.9
Cleavinger-0.2+2.2-1.1-0.2+3.4-2.4-6.2

Handedness and Release Point

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Jake Fraley is worse vs left-handed pitching. Garrett Cleavinger is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Fraley doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Garrett Cleavinger throws a Slider 41% of the time. Jake Fraley has a C+ grade against left-handed Sliders

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Slider (L)
41%
   4-Seam (L)
32%
   Cutter (L)
13%
   Sinker (L)
12%

Contact and Outcomes

11.3% of Jake Fraley's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.5% lower than the league average. Garrett Cleavinger strikes out 18.8% of the batters he faces, which is 4.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 16%         Strikeout -5.5% +4.2% 5%         Walk -1.6% +3.9% 37%         In Play +7.2% -8.1% 39%         On Base +2.3% +3.2% 31%         Hit +3.9% -0.7% 14%         Single +2.3% -0.6% 13%         2B / 3B +2.7% -0.4% 3%         Home Run -1.1% +0.3%

History

No History in the last 3 years