Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Jake Fraley

matchup for John Means

184th out of 436 (Best 43%)

John Means

matchup for Jake Fraley

193rd out of 567 (Best 35%)

Moderate advantage for Fraley

Jake Fraley has a 29.6% chance of reaching base vs John Means, which is 0.8% lower than Fraley's typical expectations, and 1.3% lower than batters facing Means.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	29.6%	25.1%	2.6%	6.5%	16.0%	4.5%	16.3%
Fraley	-0.8	+1.5	+0.5	+1.3	-0.4	-2.2	-3.6
Means	-1.3	+1.1	-0.8	0.0	+1.9	-2.4	-4.6

Jake Fraley is worse vs left-handed pitching. John Means is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Fraley has a B grade vs this particular release point.

John Means throws a 4-seam fastball 49% of the time. Jake Fraley has a D- grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (L)

49%

Changeup (L)

28%

Slider (L)

12%

Curve (L)

11%

9% of John Means's pitches are classified as Meatballs, which is 4% higher than the MLB average. Jake Fraley has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Meatball 9%

+4%

Likely Ball 21%

+1%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Strong Challenge 6%

+1%

Mid Challenge 12%

+1%

Chaser 6%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Non-Competitive 11%

-2%

Weak Challenge 3%

-6%

31% of John Means's pitches are classified as Extreme Ride, which is 27% higher than the MLB average. Jake Fraley hasn't faced this type of pitch enough to assign a grade.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Extreme Ride 31%

+27%

Medium Break 40%

+21%

Offspeed (L) 28%

+15%

Medium Fast Velo 24%

+9%

11.3% of Jake Fraley's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.5% lower than the league average. John Means strikes out 14.7% of the batters he faces, which is 0.2% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Strikeout -5.5% -0.2% 5%

Walk -1.6% -2.7% 37%

In Play +7.2% +2.9% 39%

On Base +2.3% -4.8% 31%

Hit +3.9% -2.0% 14%

Single +2.3% -1.5% 13%

2B / 3B +2.7% -1.1% 3%

Home Run -1.1% +0.5%

37.1% of Jake Fraley's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 2.7% higher than the league average. John Means induces Standard Grounders at a 23.3% rate, which is 11.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.3% -0.1% 34%

Standard Grounder +2.7% -11.1% 7%

Hard Grounder -4.5% -1.7% 14%

Low Screamer +7.0% +0.6% 9%

Rising Liner -1.3% +0.6% 4%

Maybe Homer -1.4% +0.5% 3%

Likely Homer +0.7% 0.0% 1%

No Doubter -0.2% +0.5% 20%

Routine Flyout -3.1% +5.9% 3%

Pop up +0.4% +4.8%

16.4% of Jake Fraley's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 7.9% lower than the league average. 26.7% of batted balls allowed by John Means are hit at above 100 mph, which is 2.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +10.8% -0.5% 21%

75 to 86 mph +3.0% +1.1% 18%

87 to 93 mph -0.6% -3.4% 19%

94 to 99 mph -5.2% +0.4% 24%

Above 100 mph -7.9% +2.4%

11.4% of Jake Fraley's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.0% higher than the league average. 12.5% of batted balls allowed by John Means are hit at this angle, which is 1.0% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%