Matchup Machine

Jake Fraley

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matchup for Thyago Vieira

108th out of 436 (Best 26%)

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Thyago Vieira

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matchup for Jake Fraley

376th out of 567 (Worst 34%)

Leans in favor of Vieira
1

Model Prediction

Jake Fraley has a 31.2% chance of reaching base vs Thyago Vieira, which is 0.8% higher than Fraley's typical expectations, and 2.5% lower than batters facing Vieira.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction31.2%21.3%1.6%4.1%15.5%9.9%21.7%
Fraley+0.8-2.4-0.6-1.0-0.8+3.2+1.9
Vieira-2.5+1.1-0.7-0.5+2.2-3.6-2.7

Handedness and Release Point

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Jake Fraley is better vs right-handed pitching. Thyago Vieira is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Fraley has a C+ grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Thyago Vieira throws a 4-seam fastball 42% of the time. Jake Fraley has a B grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
42%
   Slider (R)
30%
   Sinker (R)
25%

Contact and Outcomes

11.3% of Jake Fraley's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.5% lower than the league average. Thyago Vieira strikes out 13.2% of the batters he faces, which is 2.2% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 16%         Strikeout -5.5% -2.2% 5%         Walk -1.6% +4.2% 37%         In Play +7.2% -2.0% 39%         On Base +2.3% +1.5% 31%         Hit +3.9% -2.7% 14%         Single +2.3% -2.0% 13%         2B / 3B +2.7% -1.6% 3%         Home Run -1.1% +0.9%

History

No History in the last 3 years