Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Jake Fraley

matchup for Shelby Miller

325th out of 436 (Worst 26%)

Shelby Miller

matchup for Jake Fraley

204th out of 567 (Best 37%)

Moderate advantage for Fraley

Jake Fraley has a 30.5% chance of reaching base vs Shelby Miller, which is 0.1% higher than Fraley's typical expectations, and 1.3% higher than batters facing Miller.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	30.5%	24.2%	2.9%	5.6%	15.7%	6.3%	19.2%
Fraley	+0.1	+0.5	+0.8	+0.4	-0.7	-0.4	-0.7
Miller	+1.3	+3.1	-0.8	+0.6	+3.3	-1.8	-5.5

Jake Fraley is better vs right-handed pitching. Shelby Miller is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Fraley has a C grade vs this particular release point.

Shelby Miller throws a 4-seam fastball 56% of the time. Jake Fraley has a B grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

56%

Slider (R)

11%

Curve (R)

10%

Splitter (R)

Cutter (R)

14% of Shelby Miller's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 3% higher than the MLB average. Jake Fraley has a C- grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 14%

+3%

Strong Challenge 7%

+2%

Non-Competitive 14%

+1%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Meatball 7%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Weak Challenge 6%

-2%

Chaser 4%

-2%

Likely Ball 17%

-3%

27% of Shelby Miller's pitches are classified as High Ride, which is 16% higher than the MLB average. Jake Fraley has a D- grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

High Ride 27%

+16%

Medium Fast Velo 28%

+13%

Medium Break 31%

+12%

Fastball (R) 64%

+10%

11.3% of Jake Fraley's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.5% lower than the league average. Shelby Miller strikes out 16.1% of the batters he faces, which is 0.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Strikeout -5.5% +0.3% 5%

Walk -1.6% +0.8% 37%

In Play +7.2% -1.1% 39%

On Base +2.3% -4.9% 31%

Hit +3.9% -5.7% 14%

Single +2.3% -3.1% 13%

2B / 3B +2.7% -2.8% 3%

Home Run -1.1% +0.3%

37.1% of Jake Fraley's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 2.7% higher than the league average. Shelby Miller induces Standard Grounders at a 34.0% rate, which is 0.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.3% -0.6% 34%

Standard Grounder +2.7% -0.4% 7%

Hard Grounder -4.5% 0.0% 14%

Low Screamer +7.0% -2.8% 9%

Rising Liner -1.3% -0.2% 4%

Maybe Homer -1.4% -1.1% 3%

Likely Homer +0.7% -0.1% 1%

No Doubter -0.2% +0.6% 20%

Routine Flyout -3.1% +3.5% 3%

Pop up +0.4% +1.2%

16.4% of Jake Fraley's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 7.9% lower than the league average. 25.5% of batted balls allowed by Shelby Miller are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +10.8% -4.8% 21%

75 to 86 mph +3.0% -1.3% 18%

87 to 93 mph -0.6% +2.4% 19%

94 to 99 mph -5.2% +2.5% 24%

Above 100 mph -7.9% +1.2%

11.4% of Jake Fraley's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.0% higher than the league average. 10.1% of batted balls allowed by Shelby Miller are hit at this angle, which is 1.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%