Matchup Machine

J.C. Escarra

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matchup for Ryan Helsley

out of 436 (Worst %)

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Ryan Helsley

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matchup for J.C. Escarra

545th out of 567 (Worst 4%)

Extreme advantage for Helsley
10

Model Prediction

J.C. Escarra has a 20.4% chance of reaching base vs Ryan Helsley, which is 3.6% lower than Escarra's typical expectations, and 6.6% lower than batters facing Helsley.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction20.4%14.8%1.2%2.4%11.2%5.6%44.1%
Escarra-3.6-2.8-0.8-1.1-0.8-0.9+9.4
Helsley-6.6-4.8-0.7-1.4-2.6-1.8+10.3

Handedness and Release Point

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J.C. Escarra hasn't faced much right-handed pitching. Ryan Helsley is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Escarra doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Ryan Helsley throws a 4-seam fastball 53% of the time. J.C. Escarra hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
53%
   Cutter (R)
15%

Contact and Outcomes

50.0% of J.C. Escarra's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 25.4% higher than the league average. Ryan Helsley strikes out 22.9% of the batters he faces, which is 10.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 24%         Strikeout +25.4% +10.8% 8%         Walk -8.0% -0.9% 67%         In Play -17.4% -9.9% 39%         On Base -38.8% -8.2% 31%         Hit -30.8% -7.3% 14%         Single -14.1% -3.3% 13%         2B / 3B -13.7% -2.9% 3%         Home Run -3.1% -1.0%

History

No History in the last 3 years