Matchup Machine

J.C. Escarra

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matchup for Carlos Carrasco

out of 436 (Worst %)

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Carlos Carrasco

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matchup for J.C. Escarra

311st out of 567 (Worst 45%)

Extreme advantage for Carrasco
9

Model Prediction

J.C. Escarra has a 23.4% chance of reaching base vs Carlos Carrasco, which is 0.7% lower than Escarra's typical expectations, and 7.8% lower than batters facing Carrasco.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction23.4%18.1%2.2%3.9%12.1%5.3%34.6%
Escarra-0.7+0.5+0.2+0.3+0.0-1.2-0.1
Carrasco-7.8-5.5-0.8-1.9-2.8-2.3+11.2

Handedness and Release Point

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J.C. Escarra hasn't faced much right-handed pitching. Carlos Carrasco is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Escarra doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Carlos Carrasco throws a 4-seam fastball 32% of the time. J.C. Escarra hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
32%

Contact and Outcomes

50.0% of J.C. Escarra's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 25.4% higher than the league average. Carlos Carrasco strikes out 16.9% of the batters he faces, which is 3.0% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 24%         Strikeout +25.4% +3.0% 8%         Walk -8.0% -2.6% 67%         In Play -17.4% -0.4% 39%         On Base -38.8% -2.3% 31%         Hit -30.8% +0.3% 14%         Single -14.1% +0.2% 13%         2B / 3B -13.7% +0.6% 3%         Home Run -3.1% -0.6%

History

No History in the last 3 years