Matchup Machine

J.P. Crawford

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matchup for Ryan Weathers

259th out of 436 (Worst 41%)

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Ryan Weathers

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matchup for J.P. Crawford

346th out of 567 (Worst 39%)

Leans in favor of Weathers
1

Model Prediction

J.P. Crawford has a 31.4% chance of reaching base vs Ryan Weathers, which is 1.4% lower than Crawford's typical expectations, and 1.5% higher than batters facing Weathers.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction31.4%19.7%1.4%5.8%12.5%11.6%24.4%
Crawford-1.4-0.1-0.5+1.3-1.0-1.2-0.9
Weathers+1.5-1.8-0.6+0.2-1.4+3.3-0.3

Handedness and Release Point

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J.P. Crawford is slightly better vs left-handed pitching. Ryan Weathers is left handed with an extreme release toward the first base side. Crawford has a B- grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Ryan Weathers throws a 4-seam fastball 44% of the time. J.P. Crawford has a B grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
44%
   Slider (L)
25%
   Changeup (L)
18%
   Sinker (L)
13%

Contact and Outcomes

13.8% of J.P. Crawford's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.3% lower than the league average. Ryan Weathers strikes out 14.3% of the batters he faces, which is 2.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 15%         Strikeout -1.3% -2.1% 3%         Walk +3.9% -0.6% 41%         In Play -2.6% +2.7% 39%         On Base +0.9% +0.9% 31%         Hit -2.9% +1.5% 14%         Single -1.3% +0.9% 13%         2B / 3B -0.9% +1.2% 3%         Home Run -0.8% -0.5%

History

No History in the last 3 years