Matchup Machine

J.P. Crawford

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matchup for Tanner Bibee

210th out of 436 (Best 49%)

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Tanner Bibee

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matchup for J.P. Crawford

332nd out of 567 (Worst 42%)

Leans in favor of Crawford
0

Model Prediction

J.P. Crawford has a 32.1% chance of reaching base vs Tanner Bibee, which is 0.7% lower than Crawford's typical expectations, and 1.0% higher than batters facing Bibee.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction32.1%19.5%2.2%4.5%12.8%12.6%25.7%
Crawford-0.7-0.4+0.2+0.0-0.6-0.3+0.4
Bibee+1.0-2.6-0.6-0.6-1.3+3.6+0.6

Handedness and Release Point

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J.P. Crawford is a bit worse vs right-handed pitching. Tanner Bibee is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Crawford has a D grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Tanner Bibee throws a 4-seam fastball 45% of the time. J.P. Crawford has a C grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
45%
   Slider (R)
27%
   Changeup (R)
17%
   Curve (R)
9%

Contact and Outcomes

13.8% of J.P. Crawford's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.3% lower than the league average. Tanner Bibee strikes out 17.7% of the batters he faces, which is 2.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 15%         Strikeout -1.3% +2.8% 3%         Walk +3.9% -1.3% 41%         In Play -2.6% -1.5% 39%         On Base +0.9% -1.1% 31%         Hit -2.9% +0.2% 14%         Single -1.3% -0.3% 13%         2B / 3B -0.9% +0.2% 3%         Home Run -0.8% +0.2%

History

J.P. Crawford has 3 plate appearances against Tanner Bibee in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 3 with 3 strikeouts.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual330000300.000
Expected From Contact →0.000.000.000.000.000
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-06-19Strikeout
2024-06-19Strikeout
2024-06-19Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.