Matchup Machine

J.P. Crawford

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matchup for Tyler Anderson

333rd out of 436 (Worst 24%)

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Tyler Anderson

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matchup for J.P. Crawford

63rd out of 567 (Best 12%)

Strong advantage for Crawford
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Model Prediction

J.P. Crawford has a 37.2% chance of reaching base vs Tyler Anderson, which is 4.5% higher than Crawford's typical expectations, and 3.5% higher than batters facing Anderson.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction37.2%21.1%2.3%5.2%13.6%16.2%20.4%
Crawford+4.5+1.2+0.4+0.8+0.1+3.3-4.9
Anderson+3.5-1.2-0.6+0.0-0.6+4.7-1.2

Handedness and Release Point

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J.P. Crawford is slightly better vs left-handed pitching. Tyler Anderson is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Crawford has a B- grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Tyler Anderson throws a 4-seam fastball 38% of the time. J.P. Crawford has a B grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
38%
   Changeup (L)
32%
   Cutter (L)
22%
   Sinker (L)
7%

Contact and Outcomes

13.8% of J.P. Crawford's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.3% lower than the league average. Tyler Anderson strikes out 14.6% of the batters he faces, which is 1.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 15%         Strikeout -1.3% -1.9% 3%         Walk +3.9% -1.0% 41%         In Play -2.6% +2.9% 39%         On Base +0.9% -0.1% 31%         Hit -2.9% +0.9% 14%         Single -1.3% +0.5% 13%         2B / 3B -0.9% +0.6% 3%         Home Run -0.8% -0.2%

History

J.P. Crawford has 10 plate appearances against Tyler Anderson in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 6 with 4 walks

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual1061001040.167
Expected From Contact →0.410.000.040.370.069
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-08-31Walk
2024-08-31Walk
2024-08-31Flyout99%
2024-07-22Hit By Pitch
2024-07-12Flyout2%3%95%
2024-07-12Single31%69%
2024-07-12Pop Out98%
2023-08-05Walk
2023-08-05Walk
2023-08-05Groundout3%97%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.