Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Willie Calhoun

matchup for Luis Severino

394th out of 436 (Worst 10%)

Luis Severino

matchup for Willie Calhoun

424th out of 567 (Worst 25%)

Moderate advantage for Calhoun

Willie Calhoun has a 33.3% chance of reaching base vs Luis Severino, which is 0.8% lower than Calhoun's typical expectations, and 3.2% higher than batters facing Severino.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	33.3%	23.2%	1.8%	3.7%	17.7%	10.1%	12.3%
Calhoun	-0.8	-0.5	-0.2	-1.7	+1.4	-0.3	-2.0
Severino	+3.2	+1.9	-0.7	-0.4	+3.0	+1.3	-11.0

Willie Calhoun is better vs right-handed pitching. Luis Severino is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Calhoun has an A- grade vs this particular release point.

Luis Severino throws a 4-seam fastball 44% of the time. Willie Calhoun has an A grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

44%

Slider (R)

27%

Changeup (R)

14%

Sinker (R)

Cutter (R)

14% of Luis Severino's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 3% higher than the MLB average. Willie Calhoun has a B grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 14%

+3%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Strong Challenge 6%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Chaser 6%

Weak Challenge 8%

Likely Ball 19%

-1%

Non-Competitive 10%

-3%

Meatball 3%

-3%

27% of Luis Severino's pitches are classified as Very Fast Velocity, which is 19% higher than the MLB average. Willie Calhoun has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Very Fast Velo 27%

+19%

Medium Break 36%

+16%

Medium Ride 24%

+10%

7.4% of Willie Calhoun's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 12.1% lower than the league average. Luis Severino strikes out 16.2% of the batters he faces, which is 0.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

19%

Strikeout -12.1% +0.9% 4%

Walk +1.3% -1.1% 35%

In Play +10.8% +0.2% 39%

On Base +2.9% -0.9% 31%

Hit +1.6% +0.2% 14%

Single +1.4% +0.2% 13%

2B / 3B +1.6% +0.4% 3%

Home Run -1.4% -0.5%

29.2% of Willie Calhoun's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 5.2% lower than the league average. Luis Severino induces Standard Grounders at a 35.9% rate, which is 1.5% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.4% +0.1% 34%

Standard Grounder -5.2% +1.5% 7%

Hard Grounder +0.7% -0.2% 14%

Low Screamer +3.9% +3.2% 9%

Rising Liner +1.3% -0.3% 4%

Maybe Homer -1.2% -0.4% 3%

Likely Homer -1.4% -1.3% 1%

No Doubter -0.2% -0.5% 20%

Routine Flyout +2.8% -1.4% 3%

Pop up -0.2% -0.7%

26.6% of Willie Calhoun's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 2.3% higher than the league average. 23.8% of batted balls allowed by Luis Severino are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.5% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -2.7% +2.0% 21%

75 to 86 mph +1.8% +0.9% 18%

87 to 93 mph -0.6% -3.8% 19%

94 to 99 mph -0.7% +1.5% 24%

Above 100 mph +2.3% -0.5%

8.8% of Willie Calhoun's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 2.6% lower than the league average. 10.1% of batted balls allowed by Luis Severino are hit at this angle, which is 1.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%