Matchup Machine

Willie Calhoun

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matchup for Carlos Rodon

415th out of 436 (Worst 5%)

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Carlos Rodon

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matchup for Willie Calhoun

395th out of 567 (Worst 31%)

Moderate advantage for Calhoun
5

Model Prediction

Willie Calhoun has a 34.4% chance of reaching base vs Carlos Rodon, which is 0.3% higher than Calhoun's typical expectations, and 5.7% higher than batters facing Rodon.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction34.4%25.0%2.3%4.1%18.6%9.4%19.5%
Calhoun+0.3+1.3+0.3-1.2+2.3-1.0+5.2
Rodon+5.7+4.6-0.5+0.0+5.1+1.1-14.8

Handedness and Release Point

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Willie Calhoun is worse vs left-handed pitching. Carlos Rodon is left handed with a horizontal release toward the first base side. Calhoun has a D+ grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Carlos Rodon throws a 4-seam fastball 56% of the time. Willie Calhoun has a C grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
56%
   Slider (L)
28%
   Changeup (L)
8%
   Curve (L)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

7.4% of Willie Calhoun's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 12.1% lower than the league average. Carlos Rodon strikes out 19.6% of the batters he faces, which is 5.5% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 19%         Strikeout -12.1% +5.5% 4%         Walk +1.3% +0.2% 35%         In Play +10.8% -5.7% 39%         On Base +2.9% -2.4% 31%         Hit +1.6% -2.6% 14%         Single +1.4% -1.6% 13%         2B / 3B +1.6% -1.5% 3%         Home Run -1.4% +0.5%

History

No History in the last 3 years