Matchup Machine

Willie Calhoun

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matchup for Martin Perez

327th out of 436 (Worst 25%)

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Martin Perez

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matchup for Willie Calhoun

141st out of 567 (Best 26%)

Extreme advantage for Calhoun
9

Model Prediction

Willie Calhoun has a 35.4% chance of reaching base vs Martin Perez, which is 1.3% higher than Calhoun's typical expectations, and 0.8% higher than batters facing Perez.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction35.4%25.9%2.7%4.7%18.5%9.5%11.0%
Calhoun+1.3+2.2+0.6-0.6+2.2-0.9-3.4
Perez+0.8+0.6-0.4-0.6+1.6+0.2-7.4

Handedness and Release Point

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Willie Calhoun is worse vs left-handed pitching. Martin Perez is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Calhoun doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Martin Perez throws a Sinker 34% of the time. Willie Calhoun has a C grade against left-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (L)
34%
   Changeup (L)
25%
   Cutter (L)
25%
   4-Seam (L)
8%
   Curve (L)
7%

Contact and Outcomes

7.4% of Willie Calhoun's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 12.1% lower than the league average. Martin Perez strikes out 11.9% of the batters he faces, which is 6.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 19%         Strikeout -12.1% -6.1% 4%         Walk +1.3% -0.3% 35%         In Play +10.8% +6.4% 39%         On Base +2.9% +5.9% 31%         Hit +1.6% +6.3% 14%         Single +1.4% +3.5% 13%         2B / 3B +1.6% +3.3% 3%         Home Run -1.4% -0.6%

History

Willie Calhoun has 2 plate appearances against Martin Perez in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 2.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual220000000.000
Expected From Contact →0.110.000.060.050.056
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-05-08Groundout6%5%89%
2024-05-08Flyout100%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.