Matchup Machine

Cody Bellinger

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matchup for Logan Gilbert

307th out of 436 (Worst 30%)

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Logan Gilbert

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matchup for Cody Bellinger

559th out of 567 (Worst 2%)

Strong advantage for Gilbert
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Model Prediction

Cody Bellinger has a 24.8% chance of reaching base vs Logan Gilbert, which is 6.3% lower than Bellinger's typical expectations, and 0.0% higher than batters facing Gilbert.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction24.8%19.6%2.3%4.7%12.6%5.2%26.9%
Bellinger-6.3-2.9-0.5-0.5-1.9-3.5+9.8
Gilbert+0.0-0.2-0.1-0.3+0.3+0.2-7.6

Handedness and Release Point

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Cody Bellinger is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Logan Gilbert is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Bellinger has a C grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Logan Gilbert throws a 4-seam fastball 44% of the time. Cody Bellinger has a C grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
44%
   Slider (R)
29%
   Kn-Curve (R)
9%
   Splitter (R)
8%

Contact and Outcomes

9.0% of Cody Bellinger's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 9.3% lower than the league average. Logan Gilbert strikes out 18.2% of the batters he faces, which is 4.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 18%         Strikeout -9.3% +4.3% 5%         Walk -1.1% -4.2% 35%         In Play +10.4% 0.0% 39%         On Base +0.8% -7.3% 31%         Hit +1.9% -3.1% 14%         Single +0.3% -2.0% 13%         2B / 3B +0.8% -1.6% 3%         Home Run +0.8% +0.5%

History

Cody Bellinger has 3 plate appearances against Logan Gilbert in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 3 with a strikeout.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual331001100.333
Expected From Contact →0.340.000.020.320.114
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2023-04-12Sac Fly1%98%
2023-04-12Strikeout
2023-04-12Single32%67%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.