matchup for Cole Ragans
matchup for Cody Bellinger
3
Cody Bellinger has a 30.5% chance of reaching base vs Cole Ragans, which is 0.7% lower than Bellinger's typical expectations, and 0.4% higher than batters facing Ragans.
| Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prediction | 30.5% | 19.6% | 2.8% | 5.5% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 19.8% |
| Bellinger | -0.7 | -3.0 | +0.0 | +0.2 | -3.3 | +2.3 | +2.7 |
| Ragans | +0.4 | +1.3 | +0.4 | +1.0 | -0.1 | -0.9 | -9.7 |
Cody Bellinger is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Cole Ragans is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Bellinger has a D grade vs this particular release point.
Cole Ragans throws a 4-seam fastball 42% of the time. Cody Bellinger has a B grade against left-handed 4-seamers
Pitch Type
% of Arsenal
4-Seam (L)
42%
Changeup (L)
24%
Cutter (L)
13%
Slider (L)
10%
Kn-Curve (L)
6%
21% of Cole Ragans's pitches are classified as Likely Balls, which is 1% higher than the MLB average. Cody Bellinger has a C grade against this type of pitch.
Pitch Label
% vs MLB
Likely Ball
21%
+1%
Strong Challenge
6%
+1%
Fringe Miss
14%
+1%
Mid Challenge
12%
+1%
Chaser
7%
+1%
Edge Painter
17%
+0%
Meatball
4%
-2%
Non-Competitive
11%
-2%
Weak Challenge
7%
-2%
43% of Cole Ragans's pitches are classified as Large Break Toward Third Base, which is 22% higher than the MLB average. Cody Bellinger has an A- grade against this type of pitch.
Physical Trait
% vs MLB
Large Break
43%
+22%
Offspeed (L)
24%
+12%
Very Fast Velo
14%
+11%
High Ride
20%
+10%
9.0% of Cody Bellinger's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 9.3% lower than the league average. Cole Ragans strikes out 18.7% of the batters he faces, which is 4.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.
18%
Strikeout
-9.3%
+4.7%
5%
Walk
-1.1%
+1.2%
35%
In Play
+10.4%
-5.9%
39%
On Base
+0.8%
-1.8%
31%
Hit
+1.9%
-3.1%
14%
Single
+0.3%
-1.6%
13%
2B / 3B
+0.8%
-1.2%
3%
Home Run
+0.8%
-0.2%
27.5% of Cody Bellinger's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 6.9% lower than the league average. Cole Ragans induces Standard Grounders at a 30.5% rate, which is 3.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.
0%
Squib/Bunt
-0.6%
+2.0%
34%
Standard Grounder
-6.9%
-3.9%
7%
Hard Grounder
+0.3%
+2.0%
14%
Low Screamer
+1.3%
+2.1%
9%
Rising Liner
-0.5%
+0.6%
4%
Maybe Homer
+0.2%
-0.4%
3%
Likely Homer
+0.4%
-2.3%
1%
No Doubter
+0.2%
0.0%
20%
Routine Flyout
+4.7%
-1.7%
3%
Pop up
+0.8%
+1.7%
22.1% of Cody Bellinger's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 2.2% lower than the league average. 16.3% of batted balls allowed by Cole Ragans are hit at above 100 mph, which is 8.0% lower than the typical MLB rate.
16%
Below 75 mph
-2.8%
+3.1%
21%
75 to 86 mph
+1.8%
0.0%
18%
87 to 93 mph
+2.0%
+6.3%
19%
94 to 99 mph
+1.1%
-1.4%
24%
Above 100 mph
-2.2%
-8.0%
13.5% of Cody Bellinger's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 2.1% higher than the league average. 10.1% of batted balls allowed by Cole Ragans are hit at this angle, which is 1.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.
17%
Below -10°
-5.3%
+4.1%
12%
-10 to 0°
-1.8%
-6.1%
8%
1 to 6°
-0.2%
+2.2%
18%
7 to 18°
-0.3%
+1.2%
15%
19 to 28°
-0.4%
-5.3%
11%
29 to 38°
+2.1%
-1.4%
7%
39 to 50°
+2.5%
+1.5%
8%
Above 50°
+3.4%
+3.7%
Cody Bellinger has 5 plate appearances against Cole Ragans in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 5 with a strikeout.
| PA | AB | H | HR | 2/3B | 1B | K | BB | Avg | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.000 |
| Expected From Contact → | 0.13 | 0.01 | 0.09 | 0.04 | 0.026 | ||||
| Expected From Contact | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Outcome | HR | 2/3B | 1B | Out |
| 2023-08-18 | Forceout | 3% | 97% | ||
| 2023-08-18 | Flyout | 100% | |||
| 2023-08-18 | Pop Out | 99% | |||
| 2023-04-09 | Flyout | 8% | 91% | ||
| 2023-04-07 | Strikeout | ||||
Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.
