Matchup Machine

Cody Bellinger

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matchup for Dean Kremer

302nd out of 436 (Worst 31%)

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Dean Kremer

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matchup for Cody Bellinger

411st out of 567 (Worst 28%)

Leans in favor of Bellinger
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Model Prediction

Cody Bellinger has a 28.9% chance of reaching base vs Dean Kremer, which is 2.2% lower than Bellinger's typical expectations, and 1.2% lower than batters facing Kremer.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction28.9%20.2%2.9%4.3%13.0%8.8%15.8%
Bellinger-2.2-2.3+0.2-1.0-1.5+0.1-1.3
Kremer-1.2-0.3+0.10.0-0.4-0.9-9.4

Handedness and Release Point

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Cody Bellinger is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Dean Kremer is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Bellinger has a C+ grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Dean Kremer throws a 4-seam fastball 38% of the time. Cody Bellinger has a C grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
38%
   Cutter (R)
25%
   Curve (R)
12%
   Sinker (R)
11%
   Changeup (R)
9%

Contact and Outcomes

9.0% of Cody Bellinger's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 9.3% lower than the league average. Dean Kremer strikes out 14.9% of the batters he faces, which is 0.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 18%         Strikeout -9.3% -0.3% 5%         Walk -1.1% +0.8% 35%         In Play +10.4% -0.4% 39%         On Base +0.8% +1.3% 31%         Hit +1.9% +0.6% 14%         Single +0.3% -0.3% 13%         2B / 3B +0.8% +0.1% 3%         Home Run +0.8% +0.8%

History

Cody Bellinger has 5 plate appearances against Dean Kremer in the last 3 years. He is 2 for 5 with a double and

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual552011200.400
Expected From Contact →0.660.000.410.250.132
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-07-09Single12%88%
2024-07-09Strikeout
2024-07-09Groundout7%93%
2023-06-18Triple40%6%53%
2023-06-18Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.